Ayla Aksu vs Lucrezia StefaniniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ayla Aksu
#156 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
5Title52 meetings · sets 2–3
🇮🇹Lucrezia Stefanini
#106 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Ayla Aksu and Lucrezia Stefanini have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Aksu leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Aksu has taken 2 sets to Stefanini's 3. Their most recent meeting: Ayla Aksu won at Samsun Open - Samsun (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Aksu | Stefanini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ayla Aksu | Lucrezia Stefanini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 29/43 | 68% | 27/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 28% | 8/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 22/69 | 30% | 21/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 21/37 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 14/27 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 12/16 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 35/38 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 29/38 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Aksu 0, Stefanini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Aksu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Stefanini
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 11, 2026
Samsun Open - Samsun
H Hard · Final
Aug 24, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Aksu | Stefanini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ayla Aksu | Lucrezia Stefanini | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Aksu | Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 16–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +32.5% | +28.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.20u | +6.23u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Aksu | Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 3 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GEO → EST → GER → ESP | BRA → GER → ESP |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Stefanini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Aksu's 63%).
| Opponent | Aksu | Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| Yuki Naito | W 61 76 | W 67 64 64 |
| Sofia Costoulas | W 26 63 64 | W 63 75 |
| Vendula Valdmannova | L 57 06 | W 64 63 |
| Irene Burillo | W 63 75 | W 62 60 |
| Darja Vidmanova | L 26 36 | L 26 16 |
| Alina Charaeva | W 63 67 76 | W 64 75 |
| Polona Hercog | L 36 57 | L 67 57 |
| Angelina Voloshchuk | W 63 61 | W 67 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lucrezia Stefanini
Samsun Open - Samsun · Final
Oct 11
Himeno Sakatsume
Samsun Open - Samsun · Semifinals
Oct 10
Fiona Crawley
Samsun Open - Samsun · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alicia Dudeney
Samsun Open - Samsun · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Emiliana Arango
Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round
Oct 6
Elena Pridankina
Adana Open - Adana · 1st Round
Sep 29
Han Shi
Ankara Open - Ankara · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Yuki Naito
Ankara Open - Ankara · 1st Round
Sep 21
Ayla Aksu
Samsun Open - Samsun · Final
Oct 11
Anna Blinkova
Samsun Open - Samsun · Semifinals
Oct 10
Polina Iatcenko
Samsun Open - Samsun · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Noma Noha Akugue
Samsun Open - Samsun · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Carole Monnet
Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round
Oct 6
Leolia Jeanjean
Adana Open - Adana · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Cagla Buyukakcay
Adana Open - Adana · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
Adana Open - Adana · 1st Round
Sep 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–70 matches
| Metric | Aksu | Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 58% |
| Sets won | 59% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Aksu | Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Aksu | Stefanini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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