Ayla Aksu vs Lisa ZaarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open - Courmayeur
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 26 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.65 or longer, Lisa Zaar has won 3 of 12 (25%). The price implied 31%, so Lisa Zaar has fallen 6 points short of it.
At 1.43 or shorter, Ayla Aksu has won 13 of 18 (72%). That is level with the 71% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Ayla Aksu and Lisa Zaar meet in the 1st Round of the Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open on October 26 on hard court. Aksu, ranked 159th, comes in as the higher seed. The two have never played.
Aksu has won four of her last five matches after a loss five days ago. Zaar has taken three of her last five but sits on a two-match losing streak, having not competed in thirteen days. On hard court, Aksu holds a 50% record in recent play while Zaar has managed just 30% over a comparable sample. The head-to-head against shared opponents splits evenly, with Aksu defeating Jeline Vandromme while Zaar beat Alana Smith.
Aksu constructs points through reaction and positioning rather than aggression off the ground. Zaar plays a more direct, physical style built on consistency and pressure. The surface record gap and Aksu's sharper recent activity present different demands. Zaar will need to establish rhythm early after her layoff; Aksu's task is maintaining her offensive options against an opponent who thrives when allowed to settle into baseline exchanges.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Aksu | Zaar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ayla Aksu | Lisa Zaar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 87% | 34/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 7/25 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 20/66 | 27% | 18/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 20/35 | 62% | 26/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 14/26 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 11/15 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 81% | 35/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 79% | 34/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Aksu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Zaar
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,884 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Aksu and Zaar have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Aksu | Zaar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ayla Aksu | Lisa Zaar | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Aksu | Zaar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | +29.9% | -19.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.89u | -3.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Aksu | Zaar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 3 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → ESP → SRB → TUN | MNE → SUI → TUN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Aksu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Zaar's 60%).
| Opponent | Aksu | Zaar |
|---|---|---|
| Enola Chiesa | W 75 63 | W 36 63 76 |
| Irene Burillo | W 63 75 | W 62 61 |
| Elena Malygina | L 64 57 57 | L 26 46 |
| Alana Smith | L 46 57 | W 62 64 |
| Nastasja Schunk | W 62 61 | L 36 46 |
| Jeline Vandromme | W 75 16 64 | L 36 36 |
| Oana Georgeta Simion | L 46 64 911 | W 64 75 |
| Iva Primorac | W 36 64 108 | W 60 64 |
| Irene Burillo Escorihuela | W 63 75 | W 64 60 |
| Angela Fita Boluda | W 46 76 75 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dalayna Hewitt
W100 Wrexham · 1st Round
Oct 21
Lucrezia Stefanini
Samsun Open - Samsun · Final
Oct 11
Himeno Sakatsume
Samsun Open - Samsun · Semifinals
Oct 10
Fiona Crawley
Samsun Open - Samsun · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alicia Dudeney
Samsun Open - Samsun · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Emiliana Arango
Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round
Oct 6
Elena Pridankina
Adana Open - Adana · 1st Round
Sep 29
Han Shi
Ankara Open - Ankara · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Matilde Jorge
Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon · 1st Round
Oct 13
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Final
Oct 11
Jessica Pieri
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Oct 10
Deborah Chiesa
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Sara Cakarevic
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Sofia Rocchetti
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Rebeka Masarova
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 22
Enola Chiesa
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–67 matches
| Metric | Aksu | Zaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 59% |
| Sets won | 58% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |