Axel Nefve vs Sebastian GorznyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Axel Nefve and Sebastian Gorzny have met 1 time since 2026; Axel Nefve leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nefve has taken 2 sets to Gorzny's 1. Their most recent meeting: Axel Nefve won at M25 East Lansing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nefve | Gorzny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Axel Nefve | Sebastian Gorzny | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 7/15 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 10/19 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nefve 0, Gorzny 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nefve
🪃 Counterpuncher
Gorzny
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
M25 East Lansing
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nefve | Gorzny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Axel Nefve | Sebastian Gorzny | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nefve | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 2.94 |
| ROI % | +1.4% | +47.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.10u | +8.96u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nefve | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 465 mi · 748 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Nefve and Gorzny posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Nefve | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| J.J. Wolf | L 67 46 | L 67 61 57 |
| Cruz Hewitt | L | L 61 67 46 |
| Joshua Sheehy | W 36 62 64 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alec Beckley
M25 Kigali · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alec Beckley
M25 Kigali · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Joshua Peck
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Sebastian Gorzny
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Alexander Petrov
M25 East Lansing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Fredrik Krogh Solheim
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Cruz Hewitt
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Tristan Boyer
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Mitchell Krueger
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Aidan Mayo
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Andrew Johnson
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
J.J. Wolf
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Nishesh Basavareddy
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Luca Staeheli
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–37 matches
| Metric | Nefve | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 53% |
| Sets won | 46% | 51% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nefve | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nefve | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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