Axel Nefve vs Sebastian GorznyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
πΊπΈAxel Nefve
#967 Β· 26 yrs Β· L
1 meeting Β· sets 2β1
πΊπΈSebastian Gorzny
#760 Β· 22 yrs
Axel Nefve and Sebastian Gorzny have met 1 time since 2026; Axel Nefve leads 1β0. Across all meetings Nefve has taken 2 sets to Gorzny's 1. Their most recent meeting: Axel Nefve won at M25 East Lansing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nefve | Gorzny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Axel Nefve | Sebastian Gorzny | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 13/34 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 5/13 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 9/17 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nefve 0, Gorzny 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nefve
π§± The Wall
Gorzny
πΎ All-Court
Matchup analysis
The πΎ All-Court archetype wins about 58% vs π§± The Wall across 131 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Gorzny.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
M25 East Lansing
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nefve | Gorzny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Axel Nefve | Sebastian Gorzny | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Nefve | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β4 | 8β8 |
| Avg odds | 2.89 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | +3.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.63u | +0.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nefve | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | β | β |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Nefve has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Gorzny's 50%).
| Opponent | Nefve | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Cozad | W 76 64 | L 67 46 |
| Joshua Sheehy | W 36 62 64 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Joshua Peck
M25 East Lansing Β· 2nd Round
Aug 13
Sebastian Gorzny
M25 East Lansing Β· 1st Round
Aug 12
Jerrid Gaines Jr
M15 Rochester Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Nathan Cox
M15 Rochester Β· 2nd Round
Jul 16
Matthew Thomson
M15 Rochester Β· 1st Round
Jul 15
J.J. Wolf
M25 Tulsa Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Thanaphat Boosarawongse
Futures 2026
Jun 9
Cruz Hewitt
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing Β· 1st Round
Aug 12
Andre Ilagan
Lexington Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Borna Gojo
Lexington Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Lexington Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Borna Gojo
Bloomfield Hills Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Matthew Forbes
Lincoln Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Landon Ardila
M25 Dallas Β· 2nd Round
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 20β34 matches
| Metric | Nefve | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 45% |
| Sets won | 46% | 47% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nefve | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nefve | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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