Axel Nefve vs Nathan CoxPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Axel Nefve and Nathan Cox have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M25 Columbus 1 in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Nefve has taken 3 sets to Cox's 2. Their most recent meeting: Axel Nefve won at M15 Rochester (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nefve | Cox | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Axel Nefve | Nathan Cox | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 13/34 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 5/13 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 9/17 | 100% | 1/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nefve 1, Cox 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nefve
🧱 The Wall
Cox
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ⚙️ Grinder archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 318 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nathan Cox.
Grinder players often use relentless consistency and deep court positioning to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 16, 2026
M15 Rochester
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 12, 2025
M25 Columbus 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nefve | Cox | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Axel Nefve | Nathan Cox | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nefve | Cox |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.89 | 2.74 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | -48.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.63u | -3.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nefve | Cox |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | PAR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Joshua Peck
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Sebastian Gorzny
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Jerrid Gaines Jr
M15 Rochester · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Nathan Cox
M15 Rochester · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Matthew Thomson
M15 Rochester · 1st Round
Jul 15
J.J. Wolf
M25 Tulsa · 1st Round
Jun 16
Thanaphat Boosarawongse
Futures 2026
Jun 9
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Bautista De La Pena
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Axel Nefve
M15 Rochester · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Zac Hamill
M15 Rochester · 1st Round
Jul 15
Neo Niedner
M15 Irvine · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Aadarsh Tripathi
M15 Irvine · 1st Round
Jun 17
Noah Zamora
M15 Los Angeles · 1st Round
Jun 10
Justin Roberts
M15 Lakewood · 1st Round
Jun 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–34 matches
| Metric | Nefve | Cox |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 40% |
| Sets won | 46% | 42% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nefve | Cox |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nefve | Cox |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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