Axel Garcian vs Matt PonchetPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Axel Garcian and Matt Ponchet have met 1 time since 2026; Axel Garcian leads 1–0. Across all meetings Garcian has taken 2 sets to Ponchet's 0. Their most recent meeting: Axel Garcian won at M15 Getxo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garcian | Ponchet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Axel Garcian | Matt Ponchet | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 5/7 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 6/19 | 29% | 11/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 18% | 2/11 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 3/4 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 7/9 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 72% | 18/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garcian 1, Ponchet 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garcian
⚔️ The Gladiator
Ponchet
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matt Ponchet.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
M15 Getxo
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Garcian | Ponchet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Axel Garcian | Matt Ponchet | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 3 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garcian | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.87 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | +71.3% | -25.2% |
| Units P/L | +7.13u | -2.77u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garcian | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BEL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Garcian has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Ponchet's 33%).
| Opponent | Garcian | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Yuto Hisano | W 64 63 | W 61 62 |
| Yanis Ghazouani Durand | L 16 46 | L 46 06 |
| Philippe Renard | W 76 62 | L 67 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuto Hisano
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alessio Basile
M15 Eupen · 1st Round
Aug 5
Arthur Nagel
M15 Strasbourg · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Strasbourg · 1st Round
Jul 28
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Valentin Lapalu
M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 1st Round
Jul 8
Carles Hernandez
M15 Getxo · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Matt Ponchet
M15 Getxo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Conor Gannon
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Ammar Elamin
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Melvin Kumar
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Gianluca Carlini
M25 Roda de Bara · 1st Round
Jul 7
Axel Garcian
M15 Getxo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Robin Bertrand
M25 Bakio · 1st Round
Jun 23
Filip Peliwo
M15 Vaasa · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Melvin Kumar
M15 Vaasa · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–38 matches
| Metric | Garcian | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 58% |
| Sets won | 41% | 59% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garcian | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garcian | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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