Axel Garcian vs Matt PonchetPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Axel Garcian and Matt Ponchet have met 1 time since 2026; Axel Garcian leads 1–0. Across all meetings Garcian has taken 2 sets to Ponchet's 0. Their most recent meeting: Axel Garcian won at M15 Getxo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garcian | Ponchet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Axel Garcian | Matt Ponchet | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 7/10 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 7/21 | 29% | 12/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 4/11 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 9/10 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 71% | 17/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garcian 1, Ponchet 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garcian
⚔️ The Gladiator
Ponchet
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matt Ponchet.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
M15 Getxo
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Garcian | Ponchet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Axel Garcian | Matt Ponchet | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garcian | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.88 | 2.99 |
| ROI % | -9.2% | -65.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -4.61u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Garcian and Ponchet posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Garcian | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Sacha Grandvincent | W 62 62 | W 76 64 |
| Yanis Ghazouani Durand | L 16 46 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrien Gobat
M15 Rodez · Semifinals
Oct 10
Guillaume Dalmasso
M15 Rodez · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Oleg Prihodko
M15 Rodez · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Luc Fomba
M15 Rodez · 1st Round
Oct 7
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
M15 Rodez · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Sacha Grandvincent
M15 Rodez · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Stefan Seifert
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 23
Andreja Petrovic
M25 Nevers · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Mickael Kaouk
M25 Plaisir · 1st Round
Sep 8
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Marcus Walters
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Conor Gannon
M15 Dublin · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Ammar Elamin
M15 Dublin · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Melvin Kumar
M15 Dublin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcel Zielinski
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Gianluca Carlini
M25 Roda de Bara · 1st Round
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–41 matches
| Metric | Garcian | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 54% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garcian | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garcian | Ponchet |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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