August Holmgren vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
August Holmgren and Yosuke Watanuki have met 2 times since 2025; August Holmgren leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2025 on grass. Holmgren has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 5 sets to Watanuki's 3. Their most recent meeting: August Holmgren won at Granby Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 14/30 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/59 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 10/25 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 18/29 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 0, Watanuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
Granby Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Holmgren | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | August Holmgren | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -19.1% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.05u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Holmgren and Watanuki posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Holmgren | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Toby Samuel | L 36 36 | L 06 16 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | W 46 75 63 | W 26 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 24
Garrett Johns
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 19
Justin Boulais
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aidan Mayo
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Yosuke Watanuki
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tristan Schoolkate
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Andre Ilagan
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Vitaliy Sachko
Bratislava Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–59 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 52% |
| Sets won | 51% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.