August Holmgren vs Vadym UrsuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
August Holmgren and Vadym Ursu have met 1 time since 2026; Vadym Ursu leads 1–0. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 0 sets to Ursu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Vadym Ursu won at Istanbul Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Ursu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | Vadym Ursu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 71% | 41/58 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 15/33 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/62 | 31% | 28/89 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 10/28 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 18/28 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 93% | 55/59 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 20/32 | 69% | 41/59 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 0, Ursu 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Ursu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward August Holmgren.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 7, 2026
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Holmgren | Ursu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | August Holmgren | Vadym Ursu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 4–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 2.92 |
| ROI % | -28.8% | -20.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.45u | -2.93u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | POR | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ursu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Holmgren's 0%).
| Opponent | Holmgren | Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L 36 57 | W 63 57 105 |
| Jay Clarke | L 46 75 26 | L 36 64 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pedro Martinez
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Henrique Rocha
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Andrea Guerrieri
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Vadym Ursu
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Felix Balshaw
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Andrea Guerrieri
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Matyas Cerny
Olbia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Diego Dedura
Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Joao Domingues
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Borna Gojo
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hugo Grenier
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Adrian Boitan
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
August Holmgren
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–89 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 65% |
| Sets won | 49% | 62% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.