August Holmgren vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฉ๐ฐAugust Holmgren
#244 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
5w1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐ณ๐ดNicolai Budkov Kjaer
#149 ยท 19 yrs ยท R
August Holmgren and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer have met 1 time since 2026; August Holmgren leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 2 sets to Kjaer's 0. Their most recent meeting: August Holmgren won at Ilkley Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Budkov Kjaer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 14/30 | 19% | 5/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/59 | 32% | 18/57 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 10/25 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 18/29 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 84% | 21/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 68% | 17/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 1, Budkov Kjaer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
๐ค Servebot
Kjaer
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward August Holmgren.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 8, 2026
Ilkley Challenger
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Holmgren | Kjaer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | August Holmgren | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ8 | 2โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -19.1% | -58.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.05u | -5.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Holmgren has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kjaer's 40%).
| Opponent | Holmgren | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L 36 57 | L 67 36 |
| Matej Dodig | W 76 36 63 | W 62 76 |
| Otto Virtanen | W 76 62 | L 64 46 46 57 |
| Remy Bertola | L 67 67 | L 57 16 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | W 46 75 63 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 24
Garrett Johns
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 22
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 19
Justin Boulais
Granby Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aidan Mayo
Granby Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Yosuke Watanuki
Granby Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Tristan Schoolkate
Newport Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Bu Yunchaokete
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Tampere Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Andrea Pellegrino
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Wimbledon ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Matej Dodig
Wimbledon ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Mackenzie McDonald
Nottingham 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 59โ63 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 51% |
| Sets won | 51% | 47% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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