August Holmgren vs Liam DraxlPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
August Holmgren and Liam Draxl have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Granby Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Holmgren leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 3 sets to Draxl's 2. Their most recent meeting: Liam Draxl won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Draxl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | Liam Draxl | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 56% | 23/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 15/33 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/62 | 40% | 27/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 10/28 | 46% | 19/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 18/28 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 20/32 | 61% | 23/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 1, Draxl 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Draxl
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward August Holmgren.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 24, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 20, 2025
Granby Challenger
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Holmgren | Draxl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | August Holmgren | Liam Draxl | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -28.8% | +6.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.45u | +1.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 6,592 mi · 10,609 km |
| Route | POR | USA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Draxl has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Holmgren's 14%).
| Opponent | Holmgren | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 36 76 36 | L 64 57 67 |
| Braden Shick | L 76 36 36 | W 62 63 |
| Toby Samuel | L 36 36 | L 46 26 |
| Remy Bertola | L 67 67 | L 62 67 16 |
| Jay Clarke | L 46 75 26 | W 63 36 64 |
| Gustavo Heide | L 46 61 16 | W 63 64 |
| Alexis Galarneau | W 64 63 | W 36 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pedro Martinez
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Henrique Rocha
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Andrea Guerrieri
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Vadym Ursu
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Felix Balshaw
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Andrea Guerrieri
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
You Du
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Hugo Gaston
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Henry Searle
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Jack Kennedy
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andrew Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–68 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 60% |
| Sets won | 49% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.