August Holmgren vs Liam DraxlPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
August Holmgren and Liam Draxl have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Granby Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Holmgren leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 3 sets to Draxl's 2. Their most recent meeting: Liam Draxl won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Draxl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | Liam Draxl | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 14/30 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/59 | 39% | 24/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 10/25 | 44% | 16/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 18/29 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 56% | 18/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 1, Draxl 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Draxl
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward August Holmgren.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 24, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 20, 2025
Granby Challenger
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Holmgren | Draxl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | August Holmgren | Liam Draxl | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -19.1% | -20.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.05u | -3.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 1,911 mi · 3,076 km |
| Route | — | CAN → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Draxl has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Holmgren's 14%).
| Opponent | Holmgren | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Braden Shick | L 76 36 36 | W 62 63 |
| Toby Samuel | L 36 36 | L 46 26 |
| Remy Bertola | L 67 67 | L 62 67 16 |
| Jay Clarke | L 46 75 26 | W 63 36 64 |
| Gustavo Heide | L 46 61 16 | W 63 64 |
| Alexis Galarneau | W 64 63 | W 36 61 76 |
| Giulio Zeppieri | L 36 26 | L 76 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 24
Garrett Johns
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 19
Justin Boulais
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aidan Mayo
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Yosuke Watanuki
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tristan Schoolkate
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Andy Andrade
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Shintaro Mochizuki
Winnipeg Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Clement Chidekh
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
August Holmgren
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 24
Millen Hurrion
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–62 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 53% |
| Sets won | 51% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.