August Holmgren vs Jay ClarkePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
August Holmgren and Jay Clarke have met 1 time since 2026; Jay Clarke leads 1–0. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 1 sets to Clarke's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jay Clarke won at Lexus Nottingham Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Clarke | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | Jay Clarke | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 68% | 25/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 14/30 | 63% | 20/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/59 | 46% | 32/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 10/25 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 18/29 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 75% | 33/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 57% | 25/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 0, Clarke 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Clarke
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward August Holmgren.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Lexus Nottingham Open
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Holmgren | Clarke | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | August Holmgren | Jay Clarke | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -19.1% | -30.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.05u | -3.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Holmgren and Clarke posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Holmgren | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Draxl | L 57 61 46 | L 36 63 46 |
| Jerome Kym | L 46 36 | L 61 46 46 |
| Toby Samuel | L 36 36 | L 64 67 06 |
| Thomas Faurel | W 61 46 64 | L 46 36 |
| Max Schoenhaus | W 75 26 63 | W 36 63 75 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L 36 57 | W 36 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 24
Garrett Johns
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 19
Justin Boulais
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aidan Mayo
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Yosuke Watanuki
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tristan Schoolkate
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Clement Chidekh
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jerome Kym
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Javier Barranco Cosano
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Stijn Paardekooper
M25 The Hague · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Stijn Paardekooper
Futures 2026
Jul 9
Mac Visser
M25 The Hague · 1st Round
Jul 8
Marco Trungelliti
Bundesliga - men
Jul 5
Andrea Pellegrino
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–69 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 54% |
| Sets won | 51% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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