August Holmgren vs James WattPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
August Holmgren and James Watt have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Granby Challenger in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 2 sets to Watt's 3. Their most recent meeting: James Watt won at Lexus Birmingham Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Watt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | James Watt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 15/33 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/62 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 10/28 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 18/28 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 20/32 | 67% | 8/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 0, Watt 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Watt
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both August Holmgren and James Watt are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 1, 2026
Lexus Birmingham Open
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 15, 2025
Granby Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 3.52 |
| ROI % | -28.8% | +33.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.45u | +0.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Holmgren has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Watt's 0%).
| Opponent | Holmgren | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| Alastair Gray | W 64 75 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pedro Martinez
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Henrique Rocha
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Andrea Guerrieri
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Vadym Ursu
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Felix Balshaw
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Andrea Guerrieri
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Sho Shimabukuro
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Ugo Blanchet
Quebec City Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Tristan Boyer
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Alastair Gray
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Timofey Skatov
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Daniel Evans
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Harry Wendelken
Birmingham Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
August Holmgren
Lexus Birmingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–62 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 47% |
| Sets won | 49% | 51% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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