August Holmgren vs James WattPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
August Holmgren and James Watt have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Granby Challenger in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 2 sets to Watt's 3. Their most recent meeting: James Watt won at Lexus Birmingham Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Watt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | James Watt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 14/30 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/59 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 10/25 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 18/29 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 90% | 9/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 80% | 8/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 0, Watt 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Watt
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both August Holmgren and James Watt are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 1, 2026
Lexus Birmingham Open
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 15, 2025
Granby Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -19.1% | -49.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.05u | -1.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Holmgren has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Watt's 0%).
| Opponent | Holmgren | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| Alastair Gray | W 64 75 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 24
Garrett Johns
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 19
Justin Boulais
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aidan Mayo
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Yosuke Watanuki
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tristan Schoolkate
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alastair Gray
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Timofey Skatov
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Daniel Evans
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Harry Wendelken
Birmingham Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
August Holmgren
Lexus Birmingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Antoine Ghibaudo
Lexus Birmingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Franco Agamenone
Abruzzo Open Francavilla al Mare · 1st Round Qualifying
May 3
Andrej Nedic
Davis Cup, Group I, PO, NZL-BIH 3-2 · Rubber 4
Feb 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–59 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 53% |
| Sets won | 51% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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