August Holmgren vs Garrett JohnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
August Holmgren and Garrett Johns have met 2 times since 2025; August Holmgren leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Bloomfield Hills Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Holmgren leads 2–0. Holmgren has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 4 sets to Johns's 1. Their most recent meeting: August Holmgren won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Johns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | Garrett Johns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 14/30 | 22% | 7/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/59 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 10/25 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 18/29 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 60% | 15/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 1, Johns 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Johns
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward August Holmgren.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 22, 2025
Bloomfield Hills Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Holmgren | Johns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | August Holmgren | Garrett Johns | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 3.08 |
| ROI % | -19.1% | -16.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.05u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Holmgren and Johns posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Holmgren | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 64 64 | W 63 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 24
Garrett Johns
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 19
Justin Boulais
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aidan Mayo
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Yosuke Watanuki
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tristan Schoolkate
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Max Purcell
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Aidan Kim
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Pedro Martinez
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
August Holmgren
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Daniil Glinka
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Darwin Blanch
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 10
Patrick Maloney
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Stefan Kozlov
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–59 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 46% |
| Sets won | 51% | 44% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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