August Holmgren vs Garrett JohnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π©π°August Holmgren
#236 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
2 meetings Β· sets 4β1
πΊπΈGarrett Johns
#441 Β· 25 yrs Β· R
August Holmgren and Garrett Johns have met 2 times since 2025; August Holmgren leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Bloomfield Hills Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Holmgren leads 2β0. Holmgren has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 4 sets to Johns's 1. Their most recent meeting: August Holmgren won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Johns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | Garrett Johns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 15/33 | 24% | 8/33 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/62 | 33% | 21/63 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 10/28 | 42% | 14/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 18/28 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 20/32 | 59% | 17/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 1, Johns 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
π€ Servebot
Johns
πΎ All-Court
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs πΎ All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward August Holmgren.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jul 22, 2025
Bloomfield Hills Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Holmgren | Johns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | August Holmgren | Garrett Johns | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β8 | 8β8 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -28.8% | -11.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.45u | -1.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | POR | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Holmgren and Johns posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Holmgren | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Martinez | L 62 67 57 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pedro Martinez
Villena Challenger Β· 1st Round
Oct 6
Henrique Rocha
Porto Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Andrea Guerrieri
Porto Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Oct 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Porto Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 28
Vadym Ursu
Istanbul Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 7
Felix Balshaw
Manacor Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Andrea Guerrieri
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Lorenzo Angelini
Bari Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 28
Daniele Rapagnetta
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Β· 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tristan McCormick
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Β· 1st Round
Sep 21
Andrea De Marchi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Gabriele Maria Noce
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Β· 2nd Round
Sep 16
Lorenzo Rottoli
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Β· 1st Round
Sep 14
Max Purcell
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 26
Aidan Kim
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 62β64 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 48% |
| Sets won | 49% | 47% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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