August Holmgren vs Braden ShickPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
August Holmgren and Braden Shick have met 1 time since 2026; Braden Shick leads 1–0. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 1 sets to Shick's 2. Their most recent meeting: Braden Shick won at Vancouver Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Shick | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | Braden Shick | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 70% | 50/71 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 15/33 | 26% | 6/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/62 | 29% | 27/94 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 10/28 | 57% | 30/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 18/28 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 97% | 61/63 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 20/32 | 79% | 50/63 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 0, Shick 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Shick
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
Vancouver Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Holmgren | Shick | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | August Holmgren | Braden Shick | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Shick |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -28.8% | -6.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.45u | -0.75u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Shick |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km |
| Route | POR | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Holmgren and Shick posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Holmgren | Shick |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Draxl | L 57 61 46 | L 26 36 |
| Aidan Mayo | W 76 62 | W 62 26 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pedro Martinez
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Henrique Rocha
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Andrea Guerrieri
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Vadym Ursu
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Felix Balshaw
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Andrea Guerrieri
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Mees Rottgering
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Ozan Baris
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Patrick Maloney
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
J.J. Wolf
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Erik Arutiunian
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Shintaro Mochizuki
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Clement Tabur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–95 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Shick |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 76% |
| Sets won | 49% | 69% |
| Games won | 50% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Shick |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Shick |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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