August Holmgren vs Braden ShickPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
August Holmgren and Braden Shick have met 1 time since 2026; Braden Shick leads 1–0. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 1 sets to Shick's 2. Their most recent meeting: Braden Shick won at Vancouver Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Shick | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | Braden Shick | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 74% | 51/69 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 14/30 | 20% | 4/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/59 | 25% | 22/89 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 10/25 | 63% | 30/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 18/29 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 97% | 60/62 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 82% | 51/62 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 0, Shick 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Shick
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward August Holmgren.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
Vancouver Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Holmgren | Shick | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | August Holmgren | Braden Shick | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Shick |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 10–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -19.1% | +28.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.05u | +4.31u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Holmgren and Shick posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Holmgren | Shick |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Draxl | L 57 61 46 | L 26 36 |
| Aidan Mayo | W 76 62 | W 62 26 62 |
| Keegan Smith | L 36 63 36 | L 06 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 24
Garrett Johns
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 19
Justin Boulais
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aidan Mayo
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Yosuke Watanuki
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tristan Schoolkate
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mark Lajal
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
August Holmgren
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rio Noguchi
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Bernard Tomic
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Timo Legout
Cary Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Jay Friend
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Fajing Sun
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–90 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Shick |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 78% |
| Sets won | 51% | 71% |
| Games won | 50% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Shick |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Shick |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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