Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Mariia TkachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Asylzhan Arystanbekova
#696 · 20 yrs
3w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇷🇺Mariia Tkacheva
#626 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Asylzhan Arystanbekova and Mariia Tkacheva have met 1 time since 2026; Asylzhan Arystanbekova leads 1–0. Across all meetings Arystanbekova has taken 2 sets to Tkacheva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Asylzhan Arystanbekova won at W15 Astana (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | Mariia Tkacheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 9/19 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/55 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 12/21 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 17/26 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arystanbekova 1, Tkacheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arystanbekova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tkacheva
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mariia Tkacheva.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 13, 2026
W15 Astana
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | Mariia Tkacheva | ||
| 1 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 1.31 |
| ROI % | +66.1% | -28.1% |
| Units P/L | +9.91u | -3.37u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POL | BEL → ESP |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Arystanbekova and Tkacheva posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | W 61 60 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yingqun Sun
W15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Sep 22
Aruzhan Sagandikova
W35 Shenyang · 1st Round
Sep 15
Unknown Player
W35 Shenyang · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Ke Ren
W35 Shenyang · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Miho Kuramochi
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Haruna Arakawa
W15 Astana · Final
Aug 16
Irem Kurt
W15 Astana · Semifinals
Aug 15
Anna Pushkareva
W15 Astana · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Mariam Bolkvadze
Samsun Open - Samsun · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Anastasia Tikhonova
Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Elena Milovanovic
W35 Hurghada · 1st Round
Sep 16
Yasmin Ezzat
W15 Hurghada · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Maria Herazo
W15 Hurghada · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Sofia Martianova
W15 Hurghada · 1st Round
Sep 2
Dune Vaissaud
W15 Hurghada · Semifinals
Aug 29
Katarina Kujovic
W15 Hurghada · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–55 matches
| Metric | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 57% |
| Sets won | 63% | 61% |
| Games won | 54% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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