Asylzhan Arystanbekova vs Mariia TkachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Asylzhan Arystanbekova
#713 · 20 yrs
9Title51 meeting · sets 2–0
🇷🇺Mariia Tkacheva
#721 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
Asylzhan Arystanbekova and Mariia Tkacheva have met 1 time since 2026; Asylzhan Arystanbekova leads 1–0. Across all meetings Arystanbekova has taken 2 sets to Tkacheva's 0. Their most recent meeting: Asylzhan Arystanbekova won at W15 Astana (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | Mariia Tkacheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 86% | 12/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 18/46 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 10/18 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 17/25 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 21/23 | 92% | 12/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 92% | 12/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arystanbekova 1, Tkacheva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arystanbekova
⚔️ The Gladiator
Tkacheva
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mariia Tkacheva.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 13, 2026
W15 Astana
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.69 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | +81.7% | -58.4% |
| Units P/L | +13.07u | -2.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUR → KAZ | KAZ → BIH |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Haruna Arakawa
W15 Astana · Final
Aug 16
Irem Kurt
W15 Astana · Semifinals
Aug 15
Anna Pushkareva
W15 Astana · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Mariia Tkacheva
W15 Astana · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Yuka Hosoki
W15 Astana · 1st Round
Aug 12
Su Jeong Jang
W15 Astana · Final
Aug 9
Anna Pushkareva
W15 Astana · Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
W15 Astana · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Dune Vaissaud
W15 Hurghada · Semifinals
Aug 29
Katarina Kujovic
W15 Hurghada · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Andrea Lola Popovic
W15 Hurghada · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Soha Sadiq
W15 Hurghada · 1st Round
Aug 26
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Aleksandra Khomitskaya
W15 Astana · 1st Round
Aug 12
Anastasia Zakharova
Enka Open - Istanbul · 1st Round
Jul 14
Donna Vekic
Philippine Women's Open - Manila · 2nd Round
Jan 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–46 matches
| Metric | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 67% |
| Sets won | 60% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arystanbekova | Tkacheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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