Ashlyn Krueger vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAshlyn Krueger
#68 Β· 22 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 4β1

π©πͺTatjana Maria
#71 Β· 38 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4TitleAshlyn Krueger and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2023; Ashlyn Krueger leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Veneto Open - Gaiba in 2023 on grass. Krueger has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Krueger leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 4 sets to Maria's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ashlyn Krueger won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ashlyn Krueger | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/52 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 17/37 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 20/29 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
π₯ Big Hitter
Maria
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ashlyn Krueger and Tatjana Maria are π₯ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 10, 2024
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jun 25, 2023
Veneto Open - Gaiba
G Grass Β· Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ashlyn Krueger | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β5 | 8β5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -36.1% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.25u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 654 mi Β· 1,053 km | β |
| Route | ROU β CZE | UKR β TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Krueger's 30%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Putintseva | L 16 36 | W 64 64 |
| Taylor Townsend | L 67 36 | L 76 36 26 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 46 67 | L 76 26 36 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 62 46 57 | W 61 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 16 63 | L 64 67 16 |
| Katherine Sebov | L 57 62 57 | W 63 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 46 | L 36 06 |
| Madison Keys | L 16 57 | L 57 46 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 75 63 | W 62 61 |
| Janice Tjen | W 61 63 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yulia Putintseva
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Taylah Preston
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sofia Kenin
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Amanda Anisimova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Julia Grabher
Philly Open - Philadelphia Β· 2nd Round
Aug 26
Anna Frey
Philly Open - Philadelphia Β· 1st Round
Aug 23
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton Β· Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton Β· 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 52β60 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 53% |
| Sets won | 56% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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