Ashlyn Krueger vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Ashlyn Krueger
#62 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Ashlyn Krueger and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2023; Ashlyn Krueger leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Veneto Open - Gaiba in 2023 on grass. Krueger has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Krueger leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Krueger has taken 4 sets to Maria's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ashlyn Krueger won at Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Krueger | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ashlyn Krueger | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 16/26 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 13/31 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 21/25 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 16/25 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Krueger 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Krueger
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 10, 2024
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 25, 2023
Veneto Open - Gaiba
G Grass · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Krueger | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ashlyn Krueger | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Krueger | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–4 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +12.8% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.43u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Krueger | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 501 mi · 807 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL → ESP | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Krueger's 50%).
| Opponent | Krueger | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Dayana Yastremska | L 62 46 57 | W 61 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 64 16 63 | L 64 67 16 |
| Katherine Sebov | L 57 62 57 | W 63 63 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 46 46 | L 36 06 |
| Madison Keys | L 16 57 | L 57 46 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 75 63 | W 62 61 |
| Janice Tjen | W 61 63 | W 63 62 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 26 63 64 | W 63 63 |
| Magda Linette | W 61 64 | W 60 63 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 46 26 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Julia Grabher
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Anna Frey
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Katie Boulter
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Daria Snigur
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Donna Vekic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–60 matches
| Metric | Krueger | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 50% |
| Sets won | 55% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Krueger | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Krueger | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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