Ashley Lahey vs Lucia NatalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ashley Lahey and Lucia Natal have met 1 time since 2026; Ashley Lahey leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lahey has taken 2 sets to Natal's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ashley Lahey won at W15 Badalona (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lahey | Natal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ashley Lahey | Lucia Natal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 9/13 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 3/7 | 8% | 1/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 7/20 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 5/13 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 4/4 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 75% | 3/4 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 9/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lahey 1, Natal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lahey
💥 Big Hitter
Natal
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 61% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 811 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ashley Lahey.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 2, 2026
W15 Badalona
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lahey | Natal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ashley Lahey | Lucia Natal | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 5/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 5 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lahey | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 4.17 |
| ROI % | +6.9% | -41.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.03u | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lahey | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | KAZ → MNE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Lahey has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Natal's 25%).
| Opponent | Lahey | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Isis Louise Van Den Broek | L 26 57 | L 57 26 |
| Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | W 46 64 62 | L 26 63 36 |
| Simona Cucu | W 60 63 | L 36 46 |
| Sophie Luescher | L 57 46 | W 67 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Astra Sharma
W15 Nashville · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Raquel Caballero Chica
W15 Nashville · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Karla Bartel
W15 Nashville · 1st Round
Sep 29
Miriana Tona
W50 Yecla · 1st Round
Sep 22
Isis Louise Van Den Broek
W50 Yecla · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Defne Cirpanli
W50 Yecla · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Merel Hoedt
W35 Reus · 1st Round
Sep 9
Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Badalona · Final
Sep 6
Ashley Lahey
W15 Badalona · 1st Round
Sep 2
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Anais Gabriel
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 1st Round
Jul 22
Carlota Vila Salles
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Noah Rojas Hernandez
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Nina Radovanovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Charlotte Pikkaart
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–26 matches
| Metric | Lahey | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 12% |
| Sets won | 62% | 47% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lahey | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lahey | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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