Ashley Lahey vs Aya El AouniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W15 Hilton Head Island
- Level
- ITF W15
- Round
- Final
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- November 8 · 10:00 AM ET
- Weather
- ☁️ 21°C · Overcast · 14 km/h
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.65 or shorter, Ashley Lahey has won 10 of 13 (77%). The price implied 62%, so Ashley Lahey has beaten it by 15 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Ashley Lahey and Aya El Aouni meet in the final of the W15 Hilton Head Island on November 8, 2026, on clay. Lahey, ranked 826th, arrives after four straight wins and has played eight matches in the past two weeks. El Aouni, unranked, carries a matching four-match streak into the title match.
The two have never faced each other. Over a recent clay sample, El Aouni has posted a 16-4 record at 80%, while Lahey sits at 15-5 and 75%. Both players have won 80% of their last five matches; Lahey's larger volume of play in recent days means she will have had just one day of rest before the final.
Lahey brings a power-based game that relies on aggressive baseline striking and forcing the pace early in rallies. El Aouni operates as a scrappy, relentless competitor who wears down opponents through court coverage and consistency. The clay surface typically rewards sustained rallying and lateral movement, qualities that could suit El Aouni's style; Lahey will need her weapons to finish points decisively before extended exchanges take hold.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lahey | El Aouni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ashley Lahey | Aya El Aouni | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 14/20 | 100% | 19/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 5/10 | 0% | 0/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 11/30 | 0% | 0/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 10/21 | 100% | 13/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 5/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 3/5 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 100% | 19/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 100% | 19/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lahey
💥 Big Hitter
Aouni
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,949 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Lahey and Aouni have never faced each other on tour.
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lahey | Aouni |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–7 | 4–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.23 |
| ROI % | +1.4% | +23.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.34u | +0.93u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lahey | Aouni |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 10 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUN → HUN → ESP → USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Lahey has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Aouni's 50%).
| Opponent | Lahey | Aouni |
|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | W 57 63 61 | W 63 61 |
| Simona Cucu | W 60 63 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jantje Tilbuerger
W15 Hilton Head Island · Semifinals
Nov 7
Lani Chang
W15 Hilton Head Island · Quarterfinals
Nov 6
Margaret Sohns
W15 Hilton Head Island · 2nd Round
Nov 5
Allison Wang
W15 Hilton Head Island · 1st Round
Nov 4
Dana Guzman
W35 Norman · Semifinals
Oct 31
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
W35 Norman · Quarterfinals
Oct 30
Jenna Defalco
W35 Norman · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Nada Fouad
W35 Norman · 1st Round
Oct 27
Emery Combs
W15 Hilton Head Island · Semifinals
Nov 7
Juliana Nicole Singeorzan
W15 Hilton Head Island · Quarterfinals
Nov 6
Charlotte Narti
W15 Hilton Head Island · 2nd Round
Nov 5
Olivia De Los Reyes
W15 Hilton Head Island · 1st Round
Nov 4
Denislava Glushkova
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Darya Velikova
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 5
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–30 matches
| Metric | Lahey | Aouni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 73% |
| Sets won | 63% | 73% |
| Games won | 55% | 62% |