Aryan Shah vs Luca PotenzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aryan Shah and Luca Potenza have met 1 time since 2026; Aryan Shah leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shah has taken 2 sets to Potenza's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aryan Shah won at M25+H Tauste (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shah | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryan Shah | Luca Potenza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 7/12 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 6/15 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 11/27 | 41% | 24/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 5/14 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/10 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 72% | 23/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 7/13 | 50% | 16/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shah 0, Potenza 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shah
🏹 Frontrunner
Potenza
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
M25+H Tauste
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shah | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryan Shah | Luca Potenza | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shah | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.86 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | -13.1% | +24.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.18u | +3.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shah | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | — | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Theo Papamalamis
M15 Fayetteville · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Evan Bynoe
M15 Fayetteville · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Dominique Rolland
M15 Fayetteville · 1st Round
Sep 30
Stefan Vujic
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 11
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
M25+H Tauste · Semifinals
Aug 8
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
M25+H Tauste · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Luca Potenza
M25+H Tauste · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Louis Larue
M25+H Tauste · 1st Round
Aug 4
Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lui Maxted
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Moez Echargui
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Finn Bass
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Manacor Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 5
Edas Butvilas
Manacor Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–59 matches
| Metric | Shah | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 47% |
| Sets won | 46% | 48% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shah | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shah | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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