Arvid Nordquist vs James ConnelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arvid Nordquist and James Connel have met 1 time since 2026; Arvid Nordquist leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nordquist has taken 2 sets to Connel's 0. Their most recent meeting: Arvid Nordquist won at M15 Baku (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nordquist | Connel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arvid Nordquist | James Connel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 25/31 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 13% | 2/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 11/42 | 20% | 8/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 15/24 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 91% | 10/11 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 100% | 23/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 83% | 19/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nordquist 1, Connel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nordquist
👑 The Complete Package
Connel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Arvid Nordquist.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 24, 2026
M15 Baku
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nordquist | Connel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arvid Nordquist | James Connel | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nordquist | Connel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–3 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 1.52 |
| ROI % | +39.8% | -23.6% |
| Units P/L | +4.38u | -2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Nordquist and Connel posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Nordquist | Connel |
|---|---|---|
| Pavel Savelov | W 61 63 | W 63 63 |
| Amir Omarkhanov | L 63 36 510 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Digvijaypratap Singh
M15 Baku · Final
Sep 27
Dmitry Dolzhenkov
M15 Baku · Semifinals
Sep 26
Millen Hurrion
M15 Baku · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
James Connel
M15 Baku · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Pavel Savelov
M15 Baku · 1st Round
Sep 23
Giulio Perego
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Amit Vales
M15 Turku · Semifinals
Aug 14
Markus Molder
M15 Turku · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Marcus Walters
M15 Baku · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Nicolas Jadoun
M15 Baku · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Baku · 1st Round
Sep 29
Arvid Nordquist
M15 Baku · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Louis Larue
M15 Baku · 1st Round
Sep 23
Damien Salvestre
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Ali Yazdani
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 15
Kasra Rahmani
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–44 matches
| Metric | Nordquist | Connel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 61% |
| Sets won | 70% | 58% |
| Games won | 57% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nordquist | Connel |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nordquist | Connel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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