Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Polina StarkovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aruzhan Sagandikova and Polina Starkova have met 1 time since 2026; Aruzhan Sagandikova leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Aruzhan Sagandikova won at W15 Astana (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sagandikova | Starkova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aruzhan Sagandikova | Polina Starkova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 18/26 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 5/23 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 13/49 | 27% | 4/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 10/22 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 90% | 9/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 80% | 8/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 15, 2026
W15 Astana
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sagandikova | Starkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 3.19 | - |
| ROI % | +14.7% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.88u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sagandikova | Starkova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SUI → POL → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sagandikova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Starkova's 0%).
| Opponent | Sagandikova | Starkova |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Sedysheva | W 61 63 | L |
| Kristina Kroitor | L 36 16 | L 16 36 |
| Anastasia Lepskaya | W 64 64 | L 57 36 |
| Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz | L 57 06 | L 36 75 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kristiana Sidorova
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 26
Yingqun Sun
W15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Ha Yoon Son
W15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Wushuang Zheng
W35 Shenyang · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W35 Shenyang · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jing Jing Lu
W35 Shenyang · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Chengwei Han
W35 Shenyang · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Chengyiyi Yuan
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Aruzhan Sagandikova
W15 Astana · 1st Round
Jul 15
Ximena Senties
W15 Astana · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Elena Utkina
W15 Astana · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Anna Sedysheva
W15 Astana · 1st Round
Jul 8
Soha Sadiq
W15 Astana · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 7
Yasmin Vavrova
W15 Astana · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Anastasia Lepskaya
W15 Tsaghkadzor · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 25
Milena Malkhasyan
W15 Tsaghkadzor · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–49 matches
| Metric | Sagandikova | Starkova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 63% |
| Sets won | 51% | 63% |
| Games won | 50% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sagandikova | Starkova |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sagandikova | Starkova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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