Arthur Nagel vs Paul TheatePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Nagel and Paul Theate have met 1 time since 2026; Arthur Nagel leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nagel has taken 2 sets to Theate's 0. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Nagel won at M15 Forbach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nagel | Theate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Nagel | Paul Theate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 47/70 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 13/31 | 14% | 2/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 36/101 | 22% | 4/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 34/62 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 15/26 | 17% | 2/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 18/30 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 59/69 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 47/69 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nagel 1, Theate 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nagel
⚔️ The Gladiator
Theate
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 24, 2026
M15 Forbach
? Carpet · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nagel | Theate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Nagel | Paul Theate | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 16/20 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 10/20 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nagel | Theate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–7 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.41 | 4.63 |
| ROI % | -13.2% | -60.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.90u | -4.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nagel | Theate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | FRA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nagel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Theate's 20%).
| Opponent | Nagel | Theate |
|---|---|---|
| Timeo Trufelli | W 75 62 | L 26 16 |
| Laurens Harnoth Manrubia | W 63 62 | W 57 61 75 |
| Stefan Seifert | W 62 63 | L 26 26 |
| Liam Branger | W 75 36 62 | L 36 63 16 |
| Leo Lagarrigue | W 62 62 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Flynn Thomas
M15 Forbach · Semifinals
Sep 26
Timeo Trufelli
M15 Forbach · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Paul Theate
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Dugardin
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 23
Francesco Maestrelli
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Maximilian Figl
M25 Rabat · 1st Round
Sep 9
Yassine Dlimi
M25 Casablanca · Quarterfinals
Sep 5
Diogo Morais
M25 Casablanca · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Maxence Rivet
M15 Rodez · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mathys Erhard
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Arthur Nagel
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Arthur Lenglet
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yannis Batsabaken
M25 Nevers · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Stefan Seifert
M25 Plaisir · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Yanis Peterhans
M25 Plaisir · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Jack Patrick Mcgary
M25 Plaisir · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–102 matches
| Metric | Nagel | Theate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 22% |
| Sets won | 64% | 25% |
| Games won | 55% | 42% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nagel | Theate |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nagel | Theate |
|---|---|---|
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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