Arthur Nagel vs Octave CaillatPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Nagel and Octave Caillat have met 2 times since 2026; Arthur Nagel leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Lannion in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Nagel leads 2–0. Nagel has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nagel has taken 1 sets to Caillat's 0. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Nagel won at M15 Lannion 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nagel | Caillat | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Nagel | Octave Caillat | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 38/59 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 14/29 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 35/88 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 28/55 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 17/25 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 50/61 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 38/61 | 43% | 3/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 18, 2026
M15 Lannion 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 18, 2026
M15 Lannion
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nagel | Caillat |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–8 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 3.25 |
| ROI % | -2.2% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.56u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nagel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Caillat's 50%).
| Opponent | Nagel | Caillat |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gabet | W 62 63 | W 63 64 |
| Timeo Trufelli | W 75 62 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Philip Henning
M25 Sarreguemines · Final
Oct 25
Maximilian Marterer
M25 Sarreguemines · Semifinals
Oct 24
Calvin Mueller
M25 Sarreguemines · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Matt Ponchet
M25 Sarreguemines · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Aaron Gabet
M25 Sarreguemines · 1st Round
Oct 21
Loann Massard
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Flynn Thomas
M15 Forbach · Semifinals
Sep 26
Timeo Trufelli
M15 Forbach · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Timeo Trufelli
M25 Sarreguemines · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Jaume Casas Blasi
M15 Rodez · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Arthur Nagel
M15 Lannion · Round of 32
Feb 18
Arthur Nagel
M15 Lannion 1 · 1st Round
Feb 18
Robinson Le Meur
M15 Lannion 1 · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 16
Vaal Urankar
M15 Lannion 1 · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 15
Hugo Pierre
M15 Monastir · Round of 32
Feb 11
Hugo Pierre
M15 Monastir 4 · 1st Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–89 matches
| Metric | Nagel | Caillat |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 44% |
| Sets won | 63% | 45% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nagel | Caillat |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nagel | Caillat |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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