Arthur Nagel vs Calvin MuellerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Sarreguemines
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Carpet
- Date & time
- October 23 · 4:00 AM ET
Arthur Nagel and Calvin Mueller meet next at the M25 Sarreguemines on October 23 on carpet.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nagel | Mueller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Nagel | Calvin Mueller | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 14/30 | 22% | 5/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 34/90 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 30/57 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 15/24 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 13/26 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 51/62 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 40/62 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nagel
⚔️ The Gladiator
Mueller
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 59% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 387 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Calvin Mueller.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Nagel and Mueller have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nagel | Mueller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Nagel | Calvin Mueller | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 17/21 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 3 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 44% | 8/18 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nagel | Mueller |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–8 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.40 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -14.6% | -7.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.66u | -1.19u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nagel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Mueller's 50%).
| Opponent | Nagel | Mueller |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Ponchet | W 76 64 | L 76 57 46 |
| Aaron Gabet | W 62 63 | W 62 63 |
| Christian Djonov | W 61 67 62 | W |
| Flynn Thomas | L 63 57 16 | W 63 60 |
| Adrien Gobat | L 46 46 | L 26 36 |
| Maximilian Figl | L 63 36 67 | W 57 64 63 |
| Jannik Maute | W 64 63 | L 26 67 |
| Daniel Masur | W 67 63 63 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matt Ponchet
M25 Sarreguemines · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Aaron Gabet
M25 Sarreguemines · 1st Round
Oct 21
Loann Massard
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Flynn Thomas
M15 Forbach · Semifinals
Sep 26
Timeo Trufelli
M15 Forbach · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Paul Theate
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Dugardin
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 23
Francesco Maestrelli
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Florent Lagarrigue
M25 Sarreguemines · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Christian Djonov
M25 Sarreguemines · 1st Round
Oct 20
Mika Petkovic
M15 Offenbach · Final
Oct 17
Flynn Thomas
M15 Offenbach · Semifinals
Oct 16
Jelle Sels
M15 Offenbach · Quarterfinals
Oct 15
Yannik Kelm
M15 Offenbach · 2nd Round
Oct 14
Mac Visser
M15 Offenbach · 1st Round
Oct 13
Adrien Gobat
M15 Rodez · 1st Round
Oct 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–91 matches
| Metric | Nagel | Mueller |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 48% |
| Sets won | 63% | 46% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |