Arthur Gea vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Gea and Yosuke Watanuki have met 1 time since 2025; Arthur Gea leads 1–0. Across all meetings Gea has taken 2 sets to Watanuki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Gea won at Marseille (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gea | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Gea | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 28/44 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 26/62 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 22/44 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 79% | 11/14 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 66% | 19/29 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 36/39 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 28/39 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gea 1, Watanuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gea
👑 The Complete Package
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yosuke Watanuki.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 10, 2025
Marseille
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gea | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Gea | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 22/22 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 18/22 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 59% | 13/22 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/22 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gea | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–4 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +52.5% | -39.4% |
| Units P/L | +11.03u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gea | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ben Shelton
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Ugo Humbert
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jaime Faria
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Zhizhen Zhang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rigele Te
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Semen Pankin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Semen Pankin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–70 matches
| Metric | Gea | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 56% |
| Sets won | 63% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gea | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gea | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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