Arthur Gea vs Francesco MaestrelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Gea and Francesco Maestrelli have met 1 time since 2026; Arthur Gea leads 1–0. Across all meetings Gea has taken 2 sets to Maestrelli's 1. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Gea won at Ilkley Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gea | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Gea | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 8/18 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/59 | 40% | 21/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 22/42 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 15/24 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 50% | 12/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gea 0, Maestrelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gea
💥 Big Hitter
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 9, 2026
Ilkley Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gea | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Gea | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gea | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.85 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | +32.5% | -59.4% |
| Units P/L | +6.17u | -4.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gea | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | MEX | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gea has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Maestrelli's 60%).
| Opponent | Gea | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Neumayer | W 76 46 63 | W 64 60 |
| Murphy Cassone | W 63 63 | L 67 46 |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | W 46 62 63 | W 76 61 |
| Stefano Napolitano | W 63 64 | W 63 76 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 26 26 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Francisco Cerundolo
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Michael Zheng
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Soon Woo Kwon
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Murphy Cassone
Granby Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Liam Draxl
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alexei Popyrin
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Lukas Neumayer
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Ognjen Milic
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Max Basing
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Arthur Gea
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Kimmer Coppejans
Chisinau Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–63 matches
| Metric | Gea | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 44% |
| Sets won | 63% | 44% |
| Games won | 55% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gea | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gea | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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