Arthur Fils vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Fils and Pavel Kotov have met 1 time since 2023; Arthur Fils leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fils has taken 2 sets to Kotov's 0. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Fils won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2023).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 9 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Arthur Fils, ranked 11th, meets Pavel Kotov in the 2nd Round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on October 9. Kotov sits 187th in the world and has won three straight after playing three matches in the past two weeks. Fils completed five matches over the same span and suffered a loss in his most recent outing.
The two have played once, with Fils taking that meeting. Both have posted 75% conversion rates on hard courts over their recent samples. Fils has won 4 of his last 5 matches; Kotov has also won 4 of his last 5, though his streak remains active while Fils lost his most recent match.
Both players rely heavily on their serves. Fils brings top-ten credentials and a proven hard-court record against stronger opposition. Kotov has matched that hard-court conversion rate despite the significant ranking gap and will need his serving rhythm to hold up against a player of Fils's experience and consistency.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fils | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Fils | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 22/34 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 1/8 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 13/42 | 43% | 19/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 83% | 10/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 28/28 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 68% | 19/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fils 1, Kotov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fils
🤖 Servebot
Kotov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Arthur Fils and Pavel Kotov are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,498 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 5, 2023
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fils | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Fils | Pavel Kotov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 5/17 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fils | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–3 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.36 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | +11.3% | +32.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.80u | +4.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fils | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 12 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 2,550 mi · 4,104 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fils has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kotov's 50%).
| Opponent | Fils | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | W 26 61 61 | W 76 67 63 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 63 62 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Luca Van Assche
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Martin Damm
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Tallon Griekspoor
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Aleksandar Vukic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Martin Damm
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luca Castelnuovo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Rio Noguchi
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–46 matches
| Metric | Fils | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 75% |
| Sets won | 68% | 66% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fils | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fils | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |