Arthur Bellegy vs Lorenzo BertoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 12 · 3:35 AM ET
Book odds
Arthur Bellegy meets Lorenzo Berto in the 3rd Round Qualifying of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula on October 12, 2026. The clay court qualifier will see the world number 1499-ranked Bellegy face Berto, who sits at 1095. Both players advanced through qualifying rounds to reach this stage.
The two have never met. Berto has found his rhythm lately, winning 6 of his last 10 matches. Bellegy has been inconsistent over the same span, winning 5 of 10, though he won 2 of his last 3 matches. Both played against Alexander Gschiel recently with different results; Bellegy defeated him while Berto fell to him. Bellegy and Berto each beat Matteo Liusso and Kangyuan Shi in separate contests.
On clay, Bellegy carries a 10-10 record and plays with a disruptive style built on turning points around through pressure. Berto holds a 9-11 clay record as a counterpuncher who thrives on reading pace and redirecting it. The match will test whether Bellegy can sustain his aggression against an opponent comfortable neutralizing pace, and whether Berto can execute his reactive game without giving Bellegy's shot-making too much rhythm.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bellegy | Berto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Bellegy | Lorenzo Berto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 11/15 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 25% | 7/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 11/34 | 28% | 13/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 9/16 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 67% | 12/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bellegy
🛡️ The Spoiler
Berto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🛡️ The Spoiler vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 115 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Bellegy and Berto have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bellegy | Berto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arthur Bellegy | Lorenzo Berto | ||
| 1 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bellegy | Berto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 6–10 |
| Avg odds | 4.59 | 4.02 |
| ROI % | -26.6% | -0.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.13u | -0.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bellegy | Berto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bellegy has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Berto's 67%).
| Opponent | Bellegy | Berto |
|---|---|---|
| Arno Guillet | W 62 75 | W 64 63 |
| Alexander Gschiel | W 76 63 | L 36 63 810 |
| Matteo Liusso | W 46 63 105 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leonardo Angeloni
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Filippo Alfano
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Lausanne · 1st Round
Aug 25
Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg
M25 Muttenz · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Leonardo Borrelli
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Batiste Guerra
M25 Muttenz · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Kyle Overmyer
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Jan Sadzik
M15 Bielsko Biala · 1st Round
Aug 4
Federico Della Corte
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Manuel Mazza
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 6
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Genoa 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Lorenzo Bocchi
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 14
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · Quarterfinals
Sep 5
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Bologna · Semifinals
Sep 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–46 matches
| Metric | Bellegy | Berto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 39% |
| Sets won | 47% | 41% |
| Games won | 48% | 46% |