Arina Bulatova vs Ella McdonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arina Bulatova and Ella Mcdonald have met 1 time since 2026; Ella Mcdonald leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bulatova has taken 1 sets to Mcdonald's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ella Mcdonald won at W100 Templeton (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bulatova | Mcdonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arina Bulatova | Ella Mcdonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 16/24 | 88% | 28/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 9/26 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 17/50 | 19% | 9/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 71% | 15/21 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 11/25 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 88% | 28/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bulatova 0, Mcdonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bulatova
⚔️ The Gladiator
Mcdonald
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ella Mcdonald.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 29, 2026
W100 Templeton
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bulatova | Mcdonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arina Bulatova | Ella Mcdonald | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bulatova | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 12–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.05 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -18.3% | +34.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.01u | +5.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bulatova | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 9 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → TUR | USA → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Bulatova and Mcdonald posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Bulatova | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Kayla Day | L 06 16 | L 67 36 |
| Ava Quincy Brewer | W 62 61 | W 60 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ella Mcdonald
W100 Templeton · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Martina Okalova
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kayla Day
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round
Sep 23
Jenna Defalco
W50 Berkeley · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Ava Quincy Brewer
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Luna Vujovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Vittoria Paganetti
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ekaterina Agureeva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kristina Penickova
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Whitney Osuigwe
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Savannah Broadus
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arina Bulatova
W100 Templeton · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Katherine Hui
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kayla Day
W50 Berkeley · Semifinals
Sep 26
Madison Brengle
W50 Berkeley · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Savannah Broadus
W50 Berkeley · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–50 matches
| Metric | Bulatova | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 67% |
| Sets won | 49% | 66% |
| Games won | 48% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bulatova | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W100 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bulatova | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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