Arina Arifullina vs Min LiuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arina Arifullina and Min Liu have met 1 time since 2026; Arina Arifullina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Arifullina has taken 2 sets to Liu's 0. Their most recent meeting: Arina Arifullina won at W35 Baza (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arifullina | Liu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arina Arifullina | Min Liu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 85% | 22/26 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 3/21 | 21% | 7/33 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 15% | 7/47 | 19% | 8/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 68% | 13/19 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 9/23 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 67% | 8/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arifullina 1, Liu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arifullina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Liu
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 66% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,088 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Arina Arifullina.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 28, 2026
W35 Baza
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arifullina | Liu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arina Arifullina | Min Liu | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 3 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arifullina | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 1–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.56 | 8.66 |
| ROI % | -2.7% | -76.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.30u | -6.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arifullina | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | UKR → SUI → TUN | SUI → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arifullina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Liu's 0%).
| Opponent | Arifullina | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Amandine Hesse | L 06 36 | L 26 46 |
| Victoria Gomez | L 57 26 | L 16 36 |
| Stefaniya Pushkar | W 62 62 | L 64 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
W35 Lagos · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Valeria Savinykh
W35 Lagos · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Baylen Brown
W35 Lagos · 1st Round
Oct 6
Amandine Hesse
W35 Baza · 1st Round
Sep 30
Min Liu
W35 Baza · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kennedy Gibbs
W35 Baza · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Kseniia Ruchkina
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 23
Irem Kurt
W15 Astana · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Helene Pellicano
W35 Seville · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Arina Arifullina
W35 Baza · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Lucia Llinares Domingo
W35 Baza · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Carlota Martinez Cirez
W35 Reus · 1st Round
Sep 9
Defne Cirpanli
W35 Reus · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Patricia Rodriguez Carretero
W35 Reus · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Ruth Roura Llaverias
W15 Badalona · 1st Round
Sep 1
Victoria Gomez
W15 Logrono · 1st Round
Aug 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–47 matches
| Metric | Arifullina | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 21% |
| Sets won | 54% | 27% |
| Games won | 54% | 41% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arifullina | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arifullina | Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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