Arina Arifullina vs Lucie PawlakPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arina Arifullina and Lucie Pawlak have met 1 time since 2026; Lucie Pawlak leads 1–0. Across all meetings Arifullina has taken 0 sets to Pawlak's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lucie Pawlak won at W15 Monastir (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arifullina | Pawlak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arina Arifullina | Lucie Pawlak | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 19/23 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 2/16 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 15% | 6/39 | 22% | 4/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 11/18 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 7/16 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 3/5 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 93% | 13/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 79% | 11/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arifullina 0, Pawlak 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arifullina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Pawlak
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,723 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 18, 2026
W15 Monastir
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arifullina | Pawlak | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Arina Arifullina | Lucie Pawlak | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 5/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arifullina | Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 6–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | +34.5% | +43.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.18u | +3.02u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arifullina | Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUR → KAZ | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Irem Kurt
W15 Astana · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Ekaterina Kuznetsova
W15 Astana · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Satima Toregen
W15 Astana · 1st Round
Aug 11
Su Jeong Jang
W15 Astana · Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Ha Eum Lee
W15 Astana · 2nd Round
Aug 7
Daria Zelinskaya
W15 Astana · 1st Round
Aug 4
Yan Sr Zhang
Istanbul 10 ITF
Jul 12
Karla Bartel
W15 Monastir · Final
Jun 28
Isabella Maria Serban
W35 Aix-les-Bains · 1st Round
Jun 30
Victoria Milovanova
W15 Monastir · Semifinals
Jun 20
Lois Newberry
W15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Arina Arifullina
W15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Lamiss Houas
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jun 17
Livia Keller
Monastir 40 ITF
Jun 16
Tasnim Ismail
Monastir 40 ITF
Jun 15
Laura Heutschi
Monastir 40 ITF
Jun 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–39 matches
| Metric | Arifullina | Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 78% |
| Sets won | 57% | 73% |
| Games won | 55% | 61% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arifullina | Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arifullina | Pawlak |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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