Ariana Geerlings vs Natalija SenicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ช๐ธAriana Geerlings
#505 ยท 20 yrs
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1
๐ท๐ธNatalija Senic
#408 ยท 23 yrs
Ariana Geerlings and Natalija Senic have met 1 time since 2026; Ariana Geerlings leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Geerlings has taken 2 sets to Senic's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ariana Geerlings won at W15 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Geerlings | Senic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ariana Geerlings | Natalija Senic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 87% | 20/23 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 83% | 5/6 | 20% | 4/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 8/29 | 17% | 10/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 72% | 18/25 | 58% | 26/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 92% | 36/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 82% | 32/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Geerlings 0, Senic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Geerlings
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Senic
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Ariana Geerlings and Natalija Senic are โ๏ธ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,502 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 24, 2026
W15 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Geerlings | Senic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ariana Geerlings | Natalija Senic | ||
| 1 or more | 58% | 15/26 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 2/26 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Senic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21โ4 | 3โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +7.2% | -58.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.79u | -4.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Senic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | DEN โ POR | MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Geerlings has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Senic's 0%).
| Opponent | Geerlings | Senic |
|---|---|---|
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | W 46 62 64 | L 57 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aurora Zantedeschi
W35 Seville ยท 2nd Round
Oct 7
Laura Boehner
W35 Seville ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Lucia Cortez Llorca
W35 Reus ยท Final
Sep 13
Francesca Pace
W35 Reus ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Amandine Hesse
W35 Reus ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Freya Peet
W35 Reus ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Reus ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Maria Andrienko
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Gabriella Price
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Anna Petkovic
W35 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Samira De Stefano
W50 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Rositsa Dencheva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Helena Stevic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 29โ58 matches
| Metric | Geerlings | Senic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 66% |
| Sets won | 77% | 63% |
| Games won | 62% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Geerlings | Senic |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Geerlings | Senic |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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