Ariana Geerlings vs Mathilde Ngijol CarrePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Ariana Geerlings
Unranked · 20 yrs
Title1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇫🇷Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Unranked
5wAriana Geerlings and Mathilde Ngijol Carre have met 1 time since 2026; Ariana Geerlings leads 1–0. Across all meetings Geerlings has taken 2 sets to Carre's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ariana Geerlings won at W15 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Geerlings | Ngijol Carre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ariana Geerlings | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 15/17 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 3/3 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 5/20 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 81% | 13/16 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 16/18 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 33% | 1/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Geerlings 1, Ngijol Carre 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Geerlings
⚔️ The Gladiator
Carre
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 61% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,661 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ariana Geerlings.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
W15 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–3 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.25 | 3.71 |
| ROI % | +6.1% | -60.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.10u | -2.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 10 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | AUT → TUN → ITA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carre has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Geerlings's 0%).
| Opponent | Geerlings | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Lucia Natal | L 64 67 26 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Justina Mikulskyte
W75 Bytom · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Anastasia Zolotareva
W75 Bytom · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Chloe Paquet
W75 Bytom · 1st Round
Aug 26
Dalila Jakupovic
W35 Krakow · Final
Aug 22
Radka Zelnickova
W35 Krakow · Semifinals
Aug 21
Gaia Maduzzi
W35 Krakow · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Lucie Petruzelova
W35 Krakow · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Miriana Tona
W35 Krakow · 1st Round
Aug 18
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Maria Herazo
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 29
Maria Herazo
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 29
Gloria De Santis
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 15
Kristina Kovgan
Kursumlijska Banja 10 ITF
Jul 14
Kayla Lorrimer
Kursumlijska Banja 10 ITF
Jul 13
Seda Baslilar
Amstelveen ITF
Jun 29
Julieta Pareja
W35 Las Vegas 1 · 1st Round
Feb 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–20 matches
| Metric | Geerlings | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 85% | 33% |
| Sets won | 82% | 36% |
| Games won | 65% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Geerlings | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Geerlings | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.