Ariana Geerlings vs Mathilde Ngijol CarrePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ariana Geerlings and Mathilde Ngijol Carre have met 1 time since 2026; Ariana Geerlings leads 1–0. Across all meetings Geerlings has taken 2 sets to Carre's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ariana Geerlings won at W15 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Geerlings | Ngijol Carre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ariana Geerlings | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 87% | 20/23 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 83% | 5/6 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 8/29 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 72% | 18/25 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Geerlings 1, Ngijol Carre 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Geerlings
⚔️ The Gladiator
Carre
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 60% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,508 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ariana Geerlings.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
W15 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Geerlings | Carre | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ariana Geerlings | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | ||
| 1 or more | 58% | 15/26 | 67% | 2/3 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 2/26 | 33% | 1/3 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21–4 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | 3.42 |
| ROI % | +7.2% | -14.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.79u | -0.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | DEN → POR | MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Geerlings and Carre posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Geerlings | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Laura Pabisiak | W 63 63 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aurora Zantedeschi
W35 Seville · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Laura Boehner
W35 Seville · 1st Round
Oct 6
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round
Sep 15
Lucia Cortez Llorca
W35 Reus · Final
Sep 13
Francesca Pace
W35 Reus · Semifinals
Sep 12
Amandine Hesse
W35 Reus · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Freya Peet
W35 Reus · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Reus · 1st Round
Sep 8
Stefani Webb
W15 Nashville · 1st Round
Sep 30
Charlotte Narti
W15 Nashville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Malwina Rowinska
W15 Nashville · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Maria Herazo
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 29
Maria Herazo
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 29
Ekaterina Agureeva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Gloria De Santis
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–29 matches
| Metric | Geerlings | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 56% |
| Sets won | 77% | 51% |
| Games won | 62% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Geerlings | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Geerlings | Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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