Ariana Geerlings vs Lucia Cortez LlorcaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ariana Geerlings and Lucia Cortez Llorca have met 1 time since 2026; Lucia Cortez Llorca leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Llorca leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Geerlings has taken 1 sets to Llorca's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lucia Cortez Llorca won at W35 Reus (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Geerlings | Cortez Llorca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ariana Geerlings | Lucia Cortez Llorca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 87% | 20/23 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 83% | 5/6 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 8/29 | 31% | 21/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 72% | 18/25 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 66% | 29/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Geerlings 0, Cortez Llorca 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Geerlings
⚔️ The Gladiator
Llorca
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Ariana Geerlings and Lucia Cortez Llorca are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,502 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 13, 2026
W35 Reus
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Geerlings | Llorca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ariana Geerlings | Lucia Cortez Llorca | ||
| 1 or more | 58% | 15/26 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 2/26 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Llorca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21–4 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +7.2% | +60.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.79u | +10.30u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Llorca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | DEN → POR | DEN → KAZ → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Geerlings and Llorca posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Geerlings | Llorca |
|---|---|---|
| Marianne Argyrokastriti | W 63 62 | W 62 61 |
| Jessica Laura Pabisiak | W 63 63 | W 60 64 |
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | W 60 64 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aurora Zantedeschi
W35 Seville · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Laura Boehner
W35 Seville · 1st Round
Oct 6
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round
Sep 15
Lucia Cortez Llorca
W35 Reus · Final
Sep 13
Francesca Pace
W35 Reus · Semifinals
Sep 12
Amandine Hesse
W35 Reus · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Freya Peet
W35 Reus · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Reus · 1st Round
Sep 8
Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
W35 Seville · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Angelica Sara
W35 Seville · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Meritxell Teixido Garcia
W35 Seville · 1st Round
Oct 6
Kira Pavlova
W50 Yecla · 1st Round
Sep 23
Alicia Herrero Linana
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round
Sep 15
Ariana Geerlings
W35 Reus · Final
Sep 13
Marianne Argyrokastriti
W35 Reus · Semifinals
Sep 12
Daria Yesypchuk
W35 Reus · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–68 matches
| Metric | Geerlings | Llorca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 60% |
| Sets won | 77% | 58% |
| Games won | 62% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Geerlings | Llorca |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Geerlings | Llorca |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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