Ariana Geerlings vs Joelle Lilly Sophie SteurPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Ariana Geerlings
#505 · 20 yrs
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇩🇪Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
#283 · 22 yrs
5TitleAriana Geerlings and Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur have met 1 time since 2026; Ariana Geerlings leads 1–0. Across all meetings Geerlings has taken 2 sets to Steur's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ariana Geerlings won at W35 Reus (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Geerlings | Lilly Sophie Steur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ariana Geerlings | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 87% | 20/23 | 87% | 47/54 |
| Wins a set when losing | 83% | 5/6 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 8/29 | 21% | 16/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 72% | 18/25 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 93% | 53/57 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 82% | 47/57 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Geerlings 0, Lilly Sophie Steur 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Geerlings
⚔️ The Gladiator
Steur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 8, 2026
W35 Reus
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Geerlings | Steur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ariana Geerlings | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | ||
| 1 or more | 58% | 15/26 | 36% | 10/28 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 2/26 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21–4 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +7.2% | -7.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.79u | -1.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 13 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ROU → DEN → POR | DEN → BIH → MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Geerlings has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Steur's 60%).
| Opponent | Geerlings | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Francesca Pace | W 62 75 | L 60 36 57 |
| Dalila Jakupovic | W 64 63 | L 57 36 |
| Jessica Laura Pabisiak | W 63 63 | W 76 61 |
| Gaia Maduzzi | W 57 76 60 | W 62 64 |
| Natalija Senic | W 62 36 64 | W 75 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aurora Zantedeschi
W35 Seville · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Laura Boehner
W35 Seville · 1st Round
Oct 6
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round
Sep 15
Lucia Cortez Llorca
W35 Reus · Final
Sep 13
Francesca Pace
W35 Reus · Semifinals
Sep 12
Amandine Hesse
W35 Reus · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Freya Peet
W35 Reus · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Reus · 1st Round
Sep 8
Lisa Zaar
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Final
Oct 11
Alessandra Mazzola
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Oct 10
Maria Andrienko
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Carla Giambelli
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nellie Taraba Wallberg
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Marie Mettraux
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Carla Giambelli
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 23
Clara Burel
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · Semifinals
Sep 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–76 matches
| Metric | Geerlings | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 71% |
| Sets won | 77% | 70% |
| Games won | 62% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Geerlings | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Geerlings | Steur |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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