Ariana Geerlings vs Francesca PacePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ariana Geerlings and Francesca Pace have met 1 time since 2026; Ariana Geerlings leads 1–0. Across all meetings Geerlings has taken 2 sets to Pace's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ariana Geerlings won at W35 Reus (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Geerlings | Pace | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ariana Geerlings | Francesca Pace | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 87% | 20/23 | 73% | 27/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 83% | 5/6 | 19% | 4/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 8/29 | 24% | 14/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 72% | 18/25 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 94% | 31/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 82% | 27/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Geerlings 1, Pace 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Geerlings
⚔️ The Gladiator
Pace
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesca Pace.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 12, 2026
W35 Reus
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Geerlings | Pace | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ariana Geerlings | Francesca Pace | ||
| 1 or more | 58% | 15/26 | 75% | 18/24 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 2/26 | 21% | 5/24 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 8% | 2/24 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Pace |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21–4 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | 2.25 |
| ROI % | +7.2% | +33.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.79u | +7.41u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Pace |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | DEN → POR | TUR → BEL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Geerlings and Pace posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Geerlings | Pace |
|---|---|---|
| Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | W 46 62 64 | W 06 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aurora Zantedeschi
W35 Seville · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Laura Boehner
W35 Seville · 1st Round
Oct 6
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round
Sep 15
Lucia Cortez Llorca
W35 Reus · Final
Sep 13
Francesca Pace
W35 Reus · Semifinals
Sep 12
Amandine Hesse
W35 Reus · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Freya Peet
W35 Reus · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Reus · 1st Round
Sep 8
Emma Kamper
W35 Las Vegas · Final
Oct 11
Annika Penickova
W35 Las Vegas · Semifinals
Oct 10
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
W35 Las Vegas · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Kate Fakih
W35 Las Vegas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 7
Amelie Van Impe
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Anna Sinclair Rogers
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 29
Ariana Geerlings
W35 Reus · Semifinals
Sep 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–58 matches
| Metric | Geerlings | Pace |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 64% |
| Sets won | 77% | 60% |
| Games won | 62% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Geerlings | Pace |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Geerlings | Pace |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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