Ariana Geerlings vs Chloe PaquetPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Ariana Geerlings
Unranked · 20 yrs
Title1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇫🇷Chloe Paquet
#293 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5Ariana Geerlings and Chloe Paquet have met 1 time since 2026; Ariana Geerlings leads 1–0. Across all meetings Geerlings has taken 2 sets to Paquet's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ariana Geerlings won at W75 Bytom (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Geerlings | Paquet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ariana Geerlings | Chloe Paquet | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 15/17 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 3/3 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 5/20 | 37% | 15/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 81% | 13/16 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 1/1 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 16/18 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Geerlings 1, Paquet 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Geerlings
⚔️ The Gladiator
Paquet
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,165 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Chloe Paquet.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
W75 Bytom
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Geerlings | Paquet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ariana Geerlings | Chloe Paquet | ||
| 1 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 3 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Paquet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–3 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.25 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | +6.1% | -35.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.10u | -5.96u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Geerlings | Paquet |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | AUT → TUN → ITA | POR → ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paquet has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Geerlings's 0%).
| Opponent | Geerlings | Paquet |
|---|---|---|
| Justina Mikulskyte | L 16 61 36 | W 61 63 |
| Lucia Natal | L 64 67 26 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Justina Mikulskyte
W75 Bytom · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Anastasia Zolotareva
W75 Bytom · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Chloe Paquet
W75 Bytom · 1st Round
Aug 26
Dalila Jakupovic
W35 Krakow · Final
Aug 22
Radka Zelnickova
W35 Krakow · Semifinals
Aug 21
Gaia Maduzzi
W35 Krakow · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Lucie Petruzelova
W35 Krakow · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Miriana Tona
W35 Krakow · 1st Round
Aug 18
Ariana Geerlings
W75 Bytom · 1st Round
Aug 26
Rada Zolotareva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Francesca Jones
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Valentina Ivanov
W75 Olomouc · 1st Round
Jul 15
Lia Karatancheva
W75 The Hague · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Justina Mikulskyte
W75 The Hague · 1st Round
Jul 7
Ekaterine Gorgodze
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Julia Stusek
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–41 matches
| Metric | Geerlings | Paquet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 85% | 37% |
| Sets won | 82% | 43% |
| Games won | 65% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Geerlings | Paquet |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Geerlings | Paquet |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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