Ariana Arseneault vs Tatum EvansPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ariana Arseneault and Tatum Evans have met 1 time since 2026; Tatum Evans leads 1–0. Across all meetings Arseneault has taken 1 sets to Evans's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tatum Evans won at Cary ITF (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arseneault | Evans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ariana Arseneault | Tatum Evans | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 85% | 28/33 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 17/60 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 22/33 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 12/24 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 67% | 12/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arseneault 0, Evans 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arseneault
👑 The Complete Package
Evans
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ariana Arseneault.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 29, 2026
Cary ITF
H Hard
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arseneault | Evans | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ariana Arseneault | Tatum Evans | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arseneault | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–10 | 10–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.99 | 1.63 |
| ROI % | -14.5% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.19u | +0.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arseneault | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 336 mi · 540 km | — |
| Route | CAN → ESP | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Evans has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Arseneault's 50%).
| Opponent | Arseneault | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Ansari | L 36 06 | W 76 61 |
| Thara Gowda | W 63 62 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tereza Valentova
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Annabelle Xu
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 30
Himeno Sakatsume
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Teah Chavez
W35 Saskatoon · Final
Jul 26
Lizette Cabrera
W35 Saskatoon · Semifinals
Jul 25
Alyssa Ahn
W35 Saskatoon · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Annabelle Xu
W35 Saskatoon · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Kate Fakih
W35 Santa Fe · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Carmen Andreea Herea
W35 Santa Fe · 1st Round
Jul 21
Briley Rhoden
Columbus ITF
Jul 6
Ena Koike
W100 Cary · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Madison Brengle
W100 Cary · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Carolyn Ansari
W100 Cary · 1st Round
Jul 1
Olivia Lincer
Cary ITF
Jun 30
Ariana Arseneault
Cary ITF
Jun 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–60 matches
| Metric | Arseneault | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 74% |
| Sets won | 57% | 69% |
| Games won | 52% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arseneault | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arseneault | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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