Ariana Arseneault vs Monika EkstrandPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Ariana Arseneault
#381 · 23 yrs
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Monika Ekstrand
#841 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
4wAriana Arseneault and Monika Ekstrand have met 1 time since 2026; Ariana Arseneault leads 1–0. Across all meetings Arseneault has taken 2 sets to Ekstrand's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ariana Arseneault won at W35 Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arseneault | Ekstrand | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ariana Arseneault | Monika Ekstrand | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 85% | 28/33 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 17/60 | 22% | 5/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 22/33 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 12/24 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 71% | 10/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arseneault 1, Ekstrand 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arseneault
👑 The Complete Package
Ekstrand
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Ariana Arseneault and Monika Ekstrand are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 3,166 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 24, 2026
W35 Rome
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arseneault | Ekstrand | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ariana Arseneault | Monika Ekstrand | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arseneault | Ekstrand |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–10 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.99 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -14.5% | -16.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.19u | -2.70u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arseneault | Ekstrand |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 336 mi · 540 km | — |
| Route | CAN → ESP | NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ekstrand has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Arseneault's 50%).
| Opponent | Arseneault | Ekstrand |
|---|---|---|
| Katarina Kuzmova | L 67 26 | W 63 76 |
| Alice Gillan | W 64 62 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tereza Valentova
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Annabelle Xu
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 30
Himeno Sakatsume
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Teah Chavez
W35 Saskatoon · Final
Jul 26
Lizette Cabrera
W35 Saskatoon · Semifinals
Jul 25
Alyssa Ahn
W35 Saskatoon · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Annabelle Xu
W35 Saskatoon · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Brooke Black
W35 Roehampton · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Katarina Kuzmova
W35 Roehampton · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hannah Klugman
W35 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alice Gillan
W35 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jia Jing Lu
W50 Columbus · 1st Round
Jul 8
Jiaxi Lu
Columbus ITF · Round of 32
Jul 8
Ariana Arseneault
W35 Rome · 1st Round
Jun 24
Kaitlyn Carnicella
Irvine ITF · Semifinals
Jun 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–60 matches
| Metric | Arseneault | Ekstrand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 48% |
| Sets won | 57% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arseneault | Ekstrand |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arseneault | Ekstrand |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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