Ariana Arseneault vs Kaya MoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ariana Arseneault and Kaya Moe have met 1 time since 2026; Ariana Arseneault leads 1–0. Across all meetings Arseneault has taken 2 sets to Moe's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ariana Arseneault won at W15 Trois-Rivieres 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arseneault | Moe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ariana Arseneault | Kaya Moe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 85% | 28/33 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 17/60 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 22/33 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 12/24 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 83% | 5/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arseneault 1, Moe 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 5, 2026
W15 Trois-Rivieres 1
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arseneault | Moe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–10 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.99 | 3.68 |
| ROI % | -14.5% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.19u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arseneault | Moe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 336 mi · 540 km | — |
| Route | CAN → ESP | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tereza Valentova
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 2
Annabelle Xu
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 30
Himeno Sakatsume
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Teah Chavez
W35 Saskatoon · Final
Jul 26
Lizette Cabrera
W35 Saskatoon · Semifinals
Jul 25
Alyssa Ahn
W35 Saskatoon · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Annabelle Xu
W35 Saskatoon · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Dasha Plekhanova
W35 Saskatoon · 1st Round
Jul 21
Barakat Oyinlomo Quadre
W35 Wichita · 1st Round
May 27
Serafima Elizarova
Wichita ITF
May 26
Kristina Kudryavtseva
Wichita ITF
May 25
Alexandra Vagramov
W15 Victoriaville 1 · Semifinals
Mar 14
Sofia Johnson
W15 Victoriaville 1 · Quarterfinals
Mar 13
Carolina Bohrer Martins
W15 Victoriaville 1 · 2nd Round
Mar 12
Lina Qostal
W15 Victoriaville 1 · 1st Round
Mar 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–60 matches
| Metric | Arseneault | Moe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 60% |
| Sets won | 57% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arseneault | Moe |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arseneault | Moe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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