Ariana Arseneault vs Eva Maria IonescuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Ariana Arseneault
#379 · 23 yrs
3w1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇷🇴Eva Maria Ionescu
Unranked · 19 yrs · Left-Handed
Ariana Arseneault and Eva Maria Ionescu have met 1 time since 2026; Ariana Arseneault leads 1–0. Across all meetings Arseneault has taken 2 sets to Ionescu's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ariana Arseneault won at Rome ITF (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arseneault | Maria Ionescu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ariana Arseneault | Eva Maria Ionescu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 85% | 33/39 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 15/31 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 21/70 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 24/36 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 18/31 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 34/43 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 60% | 6/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arseneault 0, Maria Ionescu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arseneault
👑 The Complete Package
Ionescu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ariana Arseneault.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 25, 2026
Rome ITF
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arseneault | Ionescu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.73 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -38.2% | -52.3% |
| Units P/L | -6.49u | -1.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arseneault | Ionescu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 124 mi · 199 km | — |
| Route | GEO → EGY | MNE → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Angelina Voloshchuk
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Catarina Gomes
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Kylie Collins
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · 1st Round
Sep 15
Angelina Voloshchuk
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Georgina Garcia Perez
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
W50 Evora · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Anastasia Gasanova
W50 Leiria · 1st Round
Sep 1
Tereza Valentova
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 24
Alexis Nguyen
W50 Lexington · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Maria Kononova
W50 Lexington · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Francesca Mattioli
W15 Nashville · 1st Round
Sep 30
Theadora Rabman
Dallas 2 ITF
Jul 13
Elena Pridankina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Ariana Arseneault
Rome ITF · Round of 16
Jun 25
Chiara Fornasieri
W15 Galati · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Alexandra Irina Anghel
W15 Galati · 1st Round
Jun 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–70 matches
| Metric | Arseneault | Ionescu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 39% |
| Sets won | 58% | 45% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arseneault | Ionescu |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arseneault | Ionescu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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