Head-to-Head

Arantxa Rus vs Mia RisticPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇳🇱Arantxa Rus

#220 · 35 yrs · Left-Handed

3Beat 3 favorites

0–0

First meeting

🇷🇸Mia Ristic

#184 · 20 yrs

Upcoming match

Tournament: Tolentino Open - Tolentino
Level: WTA 125
Round: 1st Round
Surface: Clay
Date & time: September 21 · 4:00 AM ET

Book odds

Mia Ristic1.62

Arantxa Rus2.21

RisticClay-court specialist (82%)RusClay-court specialist (52%)

Record at prices like this

Mia Ristic1.62implies 66%won 68%+2 pts

At 1.62 or shorter, Mia Ristic has won 21 of 31 (68%). That is level with the 66% the price implied.

Arantxa Rus2.21implies 36%won 30%−6 pts

At 2.21 or longer, Arantxa Rus has won 24 of 79 (30%). The price implied 36%, so Arantxa Rus has fallen 6 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Arantxa Rus and Mia Ristic meet next at the Tolentino Open - Tolentino on September 21 on clay.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Rus	Ristic
Indicator	Arantxa Rus		Mia Ristic
Wins in straight sets	66%	19/29	77%	30/39
Wins a set when losing	39%	12/31	44%	12/27
Goes to a deciding set	37%	22/60	32%	21/66
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	46%	16/35	56%	22/39
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	50%	10/20	77%	17/22
Tiebreak sets won	13%	2/15	65%	13/20
Wins after taking set 1	73%	22/30	85%	35/41
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	63%	19/30	73%	30/41

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rus

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds

Ristic

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,038 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Rus and Ristic have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Rus	Ristic
Outcome	Arantxa Rus		Mia Ristic
1 or more	74%	14/19	71%	17/24
3 or more	26%	5/19	17%	4/24
5 or more	5%	1/19	4%	1/24
10 or more	0%	0/19	0%	0/24
15 or more	0%	0/19	0%	0/24
20 or more	0%	0/19	0%	0/24

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Rus	Ristic
W-L	10–10	17–6
Avg odds	2.13	1.56
ROI %	-3.0%	+9.4%
Units P/L	-0.60u	+2.15u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Rus	Ristic
Countries	2	3
Events	2	3
Matches	6	7
Distance	4,222 mi · 6,794 km	6,316 mi · 10,165 km
Route	NED → ESP	NED → USA → ESP

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Ristic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Rus's 33%).

Opponent	Rus	Ristic
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	W 62 63	W 63 62
Elina Avanesyan	L 26 16	L 46 46
Ekaterina Kazionova	W 64 60	W 64 64
Lia Karatancheva	L 61 36 16	W 76 76
Veronika Podrez	L 46 46	L 46 63 57
Lola Radivojevic	L 26 67	L 67 60 57
Carol Young Suh Lee	L 67 57	L 67 57
Lea Boskovic	W 75 62	W 62 63
Elena Ruxandra Bertea	L 61 67 46	L 26 57

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rus

LLWLWWLW

Samira De Stefano

Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round

Sep 14

Leolia Jeanjean

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

6⁶7

Sep 2

Susan Bandecchi

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying

Aug 28

Susan Bandecchi

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying

Aug 27

Suzan Lamens

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying

Aug 26

Teodora Kostovic

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

Aug 25

Britt Du Pree

W35 Vigo · 2nd Round

6³7

Aug 13

Anna Kubareva

W35 Vigo · 1st Round

Aug 12

Ristic

LWWLLWWW

Mona Barthel

Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · Quarterfinals

Sep 18

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru

Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 2nd Round

Sep 16

Martina Colmegna

Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round

76³

Sep 15

Lina Gjorcheska

ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round

Sep 7

Himeno Sakatsume

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying

Aug 28

Francisca Jorge

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying

Aug 26

Ayana Akli

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

Aug 24

Rositsa Dencheva

W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Final

76⁴

Aug 16

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–66 matches

Metric	Rus	Ristic
Matches won	48%	59%
Sets won	49%	59%
Games won	51%	54%

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