Aoran Wang vs Luca CastelnuovoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ณAoran Wang
#996 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
10w1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2
๐จ๐ญLuca Castelnuovo
#455 ยท 29 yrs ยท L
Aoran Wang and Luca Castelnuovo have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Castelnuovo leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Wang has taken 0 sets to Castelnuovo's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castelnuovo won at Wuxi Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Wang | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aoran Wang | Luca Castelnuovo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 8/11 | 81% | 29/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 8% | 1/12 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 4/23 | 24% | 14/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 6/6 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 6/15 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 8/9 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 8/9 | 81% | 29/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Wang 0, Castelnuovo 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Wang
๐ค Servebot
Castelnuovo
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 3, 2026
Wuxi Open
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Wang | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ1 | 2โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.89 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | +70.8% | -57.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.83u | -4.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Wang | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 4 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | โ | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Castelnuovo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Wang's 0%).
| Opponent | Wang | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dellavedova | L 46 16 | W 64 06 62 |
| Khumoyun Sultanov | L 36 67 | W 64 62 |
| Denis Yevseyev | L 57 46 | W 64 67 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Maanshan ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jaesung Choe
Futures 2026
Jun 18
Jaesung Choe
M15 Maanshan ยท 2nd Round
Jun 18
Koki Matsuda
M15 Maanshan ยท 1st Round
Jun 17
Ashton Mcleod
M15 Luan ยท Round of 16
May 28
Nikita Ianin
M15 Luan ยท Round of 32
May 27
Nikita Ianin
M15 Luan ยท 1st Round
May 27
Minghui Zhang
M15 Luan ยท 1st Round
May 20
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Yanki Erel
M25 Taipei ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Moerani Bouzige
M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Antoine Ghibaudo
Pozoblanco Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Max Basing
Nottingham 3 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Nottingham 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Gabriel Ghetu
Brasov challenger
Jun 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 23โ61 matches
| Metric | Wang | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 62% |
| Sets won | 46% | 60% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Wang | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Wang | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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