Antoine Ghibaudo vs Luca CastelnuovoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Antoine Ghibaudo and Luca Castelnuovo have met 1 time since 2026; Antoine Ghibaudo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ghibaudo has taken 2 sets to Castelnuovo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Antoine Ghibaudo won at Pozoblanco Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ghibaudo | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Antoine Ghibaudo | Luca Castelnuovo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 5/23 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 12/51 | 25% | 13/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 16/29 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 4/14 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 83% | 24/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ghibaudo 1, Castelnuovo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ghibaudo
🏹 Frontrunner
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
Pozoblanco Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ghibaudo | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Antoine Ghibaudo | Luca Castelnuovo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ghibaudo | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | -34.2% | +45.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.71u | +6.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ghibaudo | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 765 mi · 1,231 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ghibaudo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Castelnuovo's 0%).
| Opponent | Ghibaudo | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Akira Santillan | W 64 61 | L 36 63 67 |
| Max Basing | W | L 46 76 36 |
| Franco Agamenone | L 67 36 | L 36 63 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Masamichi Imamura
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Ilia Simakin
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Akira Santillan
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tuncay Duran
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dan Added
Pozoblanco Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Luca Castelnuovo
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Elias Ymer
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Omar Jasika
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Ilya Ivashka
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Tung-Lin Wu
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–55 matches
| Metric | Ghibaudo | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 55% |
| Sets won | 54% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ghibaudo | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ghibaudo | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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