Antoine Ghibaudo vs James WattPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Antoine Ghibaudo and James Watt have met 3 times since 2025; Antoine Ghibaudo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cary in 2025 on hard. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Ghibaudo has taken 4 sets to Watt's 3. Their most recent meeting: James Watt won at Lexus Birmingham Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ghibaudo | Watt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Antoine Ghibaudo | James Watt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 5/26 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 13/24 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 7/17 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 28/32 | 90% | 9/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | 80% | 8/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ghibaudo 1, Watt 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ghibaudo
🎯 Baseliner
Watt
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 31, 2026
Lexus Birmingham Open
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 11, 2025
Newport Challenger
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jun 29, 2025
Cary
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ghibaudo | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -52.1% | -49.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.21u | -1.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ghibaudo | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 2,119 mi · 3,410 km | — |
| Route | TUR → KAZ | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Watt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Ghibaudo's 33%).
| Opponent | Ghibaudo | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| Timofey Skatov | L 26 26 | W 76 67 76 |
| Franco Agamenone | L 67 36 | L 36 36 |
| Andrej Nedic | W 36 64 60 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Masamichi Imamura
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Ilia Simakin
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Akira Santillan
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tuncay Duran
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dan Added
Pozoblanco Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Luca Castelnuovo
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Lui Maxted
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 6
Alastair Gray
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Timofey Skatov
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Daniel Evans
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Harry Wendelken
Birmingham Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
August Holmgren
Lexus Birmingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Antoine Ghibaudo
Lexus Birmingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Franco Agamenone
Abruzzo Open Francavilla al Mare · 1st Round Qualifying
May 3
Andrej Nedic
Davis Cup, Group I, PO, NZL-BIH 3-2 · Rubber 4
Feb 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–60 matches
| Metric | Ghibaudo | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 53% |
| Sets won | 54% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ghibaudo | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ghibaudo | Watt |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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