Anhelina Kalinina vs Maria Lourdes CarlePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπ¦Anhelina Kalinina
#48 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
41 meeting Β· sets 2β0

π¦π·Maria Lourdes Carle
#238 Β· 26 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Anhelina Kalinina and Maria Lourdes Carle have met 1 time since 2026; Anhelina Kalinina leads 1β0. Across all meetings Kalinina has taken 2 sets to Carle's 0. Their most recent meeting: Anhelina Kalinina won at MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinina | Lourdes Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anhelina Kalinina | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 31/44 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 19/65 | 48% | 26/54 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 24/49 | 20% | 4/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 89% | 8/9 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 40/45 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 31/45 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinina 1, Lourdes Carle 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinina
πͺ Counterpuncher
Carle
βοΈ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
πͺ Counterpuncher vs βοΈ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinina | Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anhelina Kalinina | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 3 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β6 | 5β7 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -59.9% | -48.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.79u | -5.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinina | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi Β· 1,053 km | β |
| Route | ROU β CZE | ESP β SRB β UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kalinina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Carle's 17%).
| Opponent | Kalinina | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Nuria Brancaccio | W 60 62 | L 36 64 46 |
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | W 63 63 | L 57 76 46 |
| Marina Bassols Ribera | W 62 61 | L 26 16 |
| Kathinka Von Deichmann | W 62 62 | W 63 26 64 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L 64 46 57 | L 26 26 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | L 57 57 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sonay Kartal
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round
Oct 12
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Darja Vidmanova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Tamara Korpatsch
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Maria Lourdes Carle
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg Β· 2nd Round
Jul 22
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W50 Lexington Β· 2nd Round
Oct 8
Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Lexington Β· 1st Round
Oct 7
Nuria Brancaccio
Tolentino Open - Tolentino Β· 1st Round
Sep 22
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana Β· 1st Round
Sep 15
Rositsa Dencheva
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Eva Vedder
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya Β· 2nd Round
Sep 10
Gina Feistel
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya Β· 1st Round
Sep 8
Federica Urgesi
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 54β65 matches
| Metric | Kalinina | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 46% |
| Sets won | 63% | 47% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinina | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinina | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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