Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Ariana GeerlingsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 15 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.19 or longer, Ane Mintegi Del Olmo has won 5 of 10 (50%). The price implied 38%, so Ane Mintegi Del Olmo has beaten it by 12 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo meets Ariana Geerlings in the 1st Round of the BBVA Open Internacional in Valencia on September 15, 2026. The Spanish player holds a 1-0 head-to-head record against the Dutch competitor. Mintegi Del Olmo is ranked 271st; Geerlings sits at 572nd.
Mintegi Del Olmo has won two matches in her last five and is coming off a loss, while Geerlings won four of her last five after a defeat on the road. The pair have split common opponents in recent weeks: Mintegi Del Olmo defeated Lucia Cortez Llorca where Geerlings fell, but Geerlings beat Miriana Tona in a match Mintegi Del Olmo lost. Geerlings has played five matches in the past two weeks and arrives with minimal rest; Mintegi Del Olmo last competed four days ago.
Both players operate as baseline grinders who build points through sustained rally pressure. On clay, Geerlings owns a 90% win rate over a recent sample of 20 matches, while Mintegi Del Olmo sits at 55% across 20 outings on the surface. The match will test whether Geerlings can maintain her clay form despite a compressed schedule, and whether Mintegi Del Olmo can convert her prior head-to-head success into a second straight victory over Geerlings.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mintegi Del Olmo | Geerlings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo | Ariana Geerlings | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 25/29 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 10/47 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 16/30 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 1/4 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 83% | 19/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Olmo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Geerlings
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Ane Mintegi Del Olmo and Ariana Geerlings are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,550 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Olmo and Geerlings have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Olmo | Geerlings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo | Ariana Geerlings | ||
| 1 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 58% | 14/24 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 8% | 2/24 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Olmo | Geerlings |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 20–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.57 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | -36.7% | +12.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.67u | +2.78u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Olmo | Geerlings |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 14 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FRA → ITA → USA | TUN → ITA → ROU |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Geerlings has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Olmo's 33%).
| Opponent | Olmo | Geerlings |
|---|---|---|
| Lucia Cortez Llorca | W 62 61 | L 76 46 16 |
| Miriana Tona | L 36 61 36 | W 64 61 |
| Anastasiia Sobolieva | L 67 36 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alicia Herrero Linana
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Elena Pridankina
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 8
Xinyu Gao
W75 Bytom · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sapfo Sakellaridi
W75 Bytom · 1st Round
Aug 26
Anastasia Tikhonova
W50 Prague · 1st Round
Aug 17
Elena Ruxandra Bertea
W75 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Vivian Wolff
W75 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Gabriela Ce
W75 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 4
Lucia Cortez Llorca
W35 Reus · Final
Sep 13
Francesca Pace
W35 Reus · Semifinals
Sep 12
Amandine Hesse
W35 Reus · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Freya Peet
W35 Reus · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Reus · 1st Round
Sep 8
Justina Mikulskyte
W75 Bytom · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Anastasia Zolotareva
W75 Bytom · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Chloe Paquet
W75 Bytom · 1st Round
Aug 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–48 matches
| Metric | Olmo | Geerlings |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 85% |
| Sets won | 62% | 81% |
| Games won | 58% | 64% |