Andrey Chepelev vs Gianmarco FerrariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Chepelev and Gianmarco Ferrari have met 1 time since 2025; Andrey Chepelev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Chepelev has taken 2 sets to Ferrari's 0. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Chepelev won at M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10 (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Genoa Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 7 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.52 or shorter, Andrey Chepelev has won 32 of 38 (84%). The price implied 68%, so Andrey Chepelev has beaten it by 16 points.
At 2.42 or longer, Gianmarco Ferrari has won 6 of 27 (22%). The price implied 32%, so Gianmarco Ferrari has fallen 10 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Andrey Chepelev and Gianmarco Ferrari meet next at the Genoa Challenger on September 7 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chepelev | Ferrari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Chepelev | Gianmarco Ferrari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 56/72 | 75% | 27/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 16/41 | 21% | 6/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 32/113 | 23% | 15/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 42/67 | 57% | 20/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 19/36 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 62/74 | 94% | 31/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 56/74 | 82% | 27/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chepelev 1, Ferrari 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chepelev
⚔️ The Gladiator
Ferrari
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Chepelev and Gianmarco Ferrari are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,378 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 7, 2025
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chepelev | Ferrari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Chepelev | Gianmarco Ferrari | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 25/30 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 23% | 7/30 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 3/30 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/30 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/30 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/30 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chepelev | Ferrari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 22–12 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -3.1% | -30.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.07u | -3.37u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chepelev | Ferrari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 5 | 4 |
| Matches | 13 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SRB → SUI → ITA → SUI → ITA | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Chepelev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ferrari's 60%).
| Opponent | Chepelev | Ferrari |
|---|---|---|
| Fausto Tabacco | L 63 36 67 | L 26 06 |
| Nikita Mashtakov | W 61 63 | L 26 76 06 |
| Giovanni Oradini | W 64 62 | W 63 61 |
| Sebastiano Cocola | W 63 61 | W 61 62 |
| Sebastiano Cocola | W 63 61 | W 61 62 |
| Giacomo Crisostomo | W 75 60 | L 46 06 |
| Tim Handel | L 16 67 | W 62 62 |
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | W 26 62 61 | L 26 62 26 |
| Edoardo Zanada | W 62 62 | W 60 61 |
| Marcel Zielinski | W 63 26 76 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jeremy Gschwendtner
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Fausto Tabacco
Como Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Niccolò Ciavarella
Como Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Henry Bernet
M25 Lausanne · Final
Aug 30
Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Lausanne · Semifinals
Aug 29
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Lausanne · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Luca Parenti
M25 Lausanne · 1st Round
Aug 25
Francesco Ferrari
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Andrea Colombo
Como Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Samuele Seghetti
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 18
Nikita Mashtakov
Todi Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Edoardo Betti
Todi Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Milano · Semifinals
Jun 19
Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Milano · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Alessandro Spadola
M25 Milano · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–113 matches
| Metric | Chepelev | Ferrari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 55% |
| Sets won | 62% | 54% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chepelev | Ferrari |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chepelev | Ferrari |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |