Andrew Paulson vs Michael VrbenskyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrew Paulson and Michael Vrbensky have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Tulln Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Paulson has taken 3 sets to Vrbensky's 3. Their most recent meeting: Michael Vrbensky won at Murcia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paulson | Vrbensky | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrew Paulson | Michael Vrbensky | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 4/5 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 5/15 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 2/6 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/3 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 50% | 7/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paulson 0, Vrbensky 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paulson
💥 Big Hitter
Vrbensky
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 656 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 15, 2026
Murcia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 3, 2024
Tulln Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paulson | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.85 | 3.04 |
| ROI % | -21.0% | -5.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.84u | -0.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paulson | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lukas Pokorny
Tulln Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Robert Strombachs
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Norbert Gombos
Prague Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Dominik Recek
Prague Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Daniel Michalski
Unicredit Czech Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Stefan Latinovic
Chisinau Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Dominic Stricker
Zagreb Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
May 10
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Olle Wallin
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Kai Wehnelt
Szczecin Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Oleksii Krutykh
Prague Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Nikoloz Basilashvili
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Maxime Janvier
San Marino Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Patrik Niklas-Salminen
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Maxime Janvier
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 28
Milos Karol
Poznan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–33 matches
| Metric | Paulson | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 36% |
| Sets won | 40% | 40% |
| Games won | 47% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paulson | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paulson | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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