Andrea Paolini vs Yannick CastelnuovoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Paolini and Yannick Castelnuovo have met 1 time since 2026; Andrea Paolini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 2 sets to Castelnuovo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Paolini won at M15 Targu Jiu (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Paolini | Yannick Castelnuovo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 13/17 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 2/15 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 6/32 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 86% | 6/7 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 5/13 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 14/14 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 93% | 13/14 | 33% | 1/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 1, Castelnuovo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
⚔️ The Gladiator
Castelnuovo
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 233 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 11, 2026
M15 Targu Jiu
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Paolini | Yannick Castelnuovo | ||
| 1 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 1–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 3.45 |
| ROI % | +38.8% | -77.3% |
| Units P/L | +3.49u | -4.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Paolini and Castelnuovo posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Paolini | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Spasov | W | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Nannelli
M15 Burgas · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Daniel Spasov
M15 Burgas · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Pasquale De Giorgio
M25 Pozzuoli · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Riccardo Terzoli
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
David - Ioan Morega
M15 Buzau · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Luca Giordano
M15 Buzau · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Ignacio Monzon
M15 Pecs · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Mate Valkusz
M15 Pecs · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Vasco Leote Prata
M15 Pontevedra · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Jorge Alvarez Mosteiro
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Arthur Laborde
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 1st Round
Sep 15
Aleksander Konstantin
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Bogdan Seleznev
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Mikhail Fufygin
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–32 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 14% |
| Sets won | 51% | 22% |
| Games won | 52% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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