Andrea Paolini vs Mattia NannelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M15 Burgas
- Level
- ITF M15
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 5 · 3:43 AM ET
Book odds
Andrea Paolini and Mattia Nannelli meet next at the M15 Burgas on October 5 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Nannelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Paolini | Mattia Nannelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 13/17 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 2/14 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 6/31 | 18% | 2/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 6/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 5/13 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 14/14 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 93% | 13/14 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🧱 The Wall
Nannelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 629 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mattia Nannelli.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Paolini and Nannelli have never faced each other on tour.
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +13.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.49u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Paolini and Nannelli posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Paolini | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Spasov | W | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Spasov
M15 Burgas · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Pasquale De Giorgio
M25 Pozzuoli · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Riccardo Terzoli
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
David - Ioan Morega
M15 Buzau · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Luca Giordano
M15 Buzau · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Ignacio Monzon
M15 Pecs · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Mate Valkusz
M15 Pecs · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Radovan Michalik
M15 Pecs · 1st Round
Aug 26
Aleksander Konstantin
M15 Burgas · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
David Tixhon
M15 Telavi · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Mikhail Osipov
M15 Telavi · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Alessandro Spadola
M25 Fano · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Stefan Horia Haita
M15 Antalya 5 · 1st Round
Mar 4
Mariano Tammaro
M15 Antalya 5 · 3rd Round Qualifying
Mar 3
Kim Johannes Niethammer
M15 Antalya 5 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Cezar Stefan Bentzel
M15 Antalya 5 · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–31 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Nannelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 18% |
| Sets won | 53% | 25% |
| Games won | 52% | 44% |